#AUDUSD @ 0.66120 grinds near the highest level in a fortnight after three-day uptrend., @nehcap view: Further upside expected (Pivot Orderbook analysis)

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#AUDUSD @ 0.66120 grinds near the highest level in a fortnight after three-day uptrend., @nehcap view: Further upside expected (Pivot Orderbook analysis)

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  • AUD/USD grinds near the highest level in a fortnight after three-day uptrend.
  • Convergence of 50-DMA, 50% Fibonacci retracement guards immediate upside.
  • Upbeat oscillators, recovery from falling wedge’s bottom line keeps Aussie buyers hopeful.
  • RBA is expected to keep current monetary policy unchanged amid market’s indecision.

The pair currently trades last at 0.66120.

The previous day high was 0.6639 while the previous day low was 0.6565. The daily 38.2% Fib levels comes at 0.6611, expected to provide support. Similarly, the daily 61.8% fib level is at 0.6593, expected to provide support.

AUD/USD bulls take a breather around 0.6620, making rounds to a two-week high amid Tuesday’s sluggish session as Aussie pair traders await the Reserve Bank of Australia’s (RBA) Interest Rate Decision. In doing so, the quote remains sidelined after rising in the last three consecutive days, following a bounce off the yearly falling wedge’s bottom line.

Also read: Reserve Bank of Australia Preview: AUD/USD ready for another hike?

The Aussie pair’s rebound from the support line of a falling wedge established since late December 2022 crossed 61.8% Fibonacci retracement of October 2022 to February 2023 upside and teased the buyers in the last few days. Adding strength to the upside momentum are the recently bullish MACD signals and upbeat RSI (14) line to keep buyers hopeful.

With this, the AUD/USD pair is all set to confront a convergence of the 50% Fibonacci retracement level and the 50-DMA, around 0.6660. However, any further upside beyond the same hinges on the RBA’s capacity to lure the bulls.

Following that, the aforementioned falling wedge bullish chart pattern’s top line, close to 0.6730 at the latest, becomes crucial to watch for clear directions.

Should the quote rises past 0.6730, the odds of witnessing a run-up towards crossing the previous monthly high of around 0.6720 can’t be ruled out.

On the contrary, pullback moves may initially aim for the 61.8% Fibonacci retracement level, also known as the golden Fibonacci ratio, close to 0.6545 at the latest.

However, the AUDUSD bears need validation from the wedge’s bottom line, surrounding 0.6495 by the press time.

Trend: Further upside expected

Technical Levels: Supports and Resistances

AUDUSD currently trading at 0.6619 at the time of writing. Pair opened at 0.661 and is trading with a change of 0.14% % .

Overview Overview.1
0 Today last price 0.6619
1 Today Daily Change 0.0009
2 Today Daily Change % 0.14%
3 Today daily open 0.661

The pair remains strongly bearish on the daily time frame. It trades below the 20 SMA @ 0.6626, 50 SMA 0.6664, 100 SMA @ 0.6755 and 200 SMA @ 0.6695.

Trends Trends.1
0 Daily SMA20 0.6626
1 Daily SMA50 0.6664
2 Daily SMA100 0.6755
3 Daily SMA200 0.6695

The previous day high was 0.6639 while the previous day low was 0.6565. The daily 38.2% Fib levels comes at 0.6611, expected to provide support. Similarly, the daily 61.8% fib level is at 0.6593, expected to provide support.

Note the levels of interest below:

  • Pivot support is noted at 0.6571, 0.6531, 0.6497
  • Pivot resistance is noted at 0.6644, 0.6678, 0.6718
Levels Levels.1
Previous Daily High 0.6639
Previous Daily Low 0.6565
Previous Weekly High 0.6639
Previous Weekly Low 0.6458
Previous Monthly High 0.6818
Previous Monthly Low 0.6458
Daily Fibonacci 38.2% 0.6611
Daily Fibonacci 61.8% 0.6593
Daily Pivot Point S1 0.6571
Daily Pivot Point S2 0.6531
Daily Pivot Point S3 0.6497
Daily Pivot Point R1 0.6644
Daily Pivot Point R2 0.6678
Daily Pivot Point R3 0.6718

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