#GBPJPY @ 170.371 defends the previous day’s retreat from one-week high, retreats on upbeat Japan Q1 GDP., @nehcap view: Limited downside expected (Pivot Orderbook analysis)
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- GBP/JPY defends the previous day’s retreat from one-week high, retreats on upbeat Japan Q1 GDP.
- U-turn from monthly resistance line directs cross-currency pair towards 170.00 support confluence.
- Bears need validation from 200-SMA and BoE Governor Bailey.
The pair currently trades last at 170.371.
The previous day high was 170.84 while the previous day low was 169.4. The daily 38.2% Fib levels comes at 169.95, expected to provide support. Similarly, the daily 61.8% fib level is at 170.29, expected to provide support.
GBP/JPY remains pressured around 170.25 while extending the previous day’s U-turn from a one-week high on early Wednesday. In doing so, the cross-currency pair justifies the upbeat Japan growth numbers while keeping Tuesday’s pullback from a descending resistance line stretched from May 01.
That said, Japan’s first quarter (Q1) 2023 Gross Domestic Product (GDP) rose to 0.4% QoQ versus 0.1% expected and 0.0% prior, per the preliminary reading.
Also read: Japan Q1 GDP improves to 0.4% QoQ versus 0.1% expected, 0.0% prior
Given the upbeat Japan data and the pair’s U-turn from the key resistance line, backed by a firmer RSI (14), the GBP/JPY is likely to decline further.
However, a convergence of the 50-SMA and a one-week-old ascending trend line, near 169.90 by the press time, could restrict the short-term downside of the GBP/JPY pair.
Following that, the double tops marked during late April around 168.00 and the current monthly can prod the pair sellers. It should be observed that the 200-SMA level of around 167.50 acts as the last defense of the GBP/JPY buyers.
Alternatively, recovery moves may aim for the aforementioned monthly resistance line surrounding 170.60 ahead of challenging a seven-week-old upward-sloping previous support line of near 170.90. Following that, GBP/JPY can target an upside move toward the monthly peak of 172.35.
Trend: Limited downside expected
Technical Levels: Supports and Resistances
GBPJPY currently trading at 170.28 at the time of writing. Pair opened at 170.34 and is trading with a change of -0.04% % .
| Overview | Overview.1 | |
|---|---|---|
| 0 | Today last price | 170.28 |
| 1 | Today Daily Change | -0.06 |
| 2 | Today Daily Change % | -0.04% |
| 3 | Today daily open | 170.34 |
The pair remains strongly bullish on the daily timeframe. It trades above its 20 SMA @ 168.98, 50 SMA 165.58, 100 SMA @ 163.01 and 200 SMA @ 163.77.
| Trends | Trends.1 | |
|---|---|---|
| 0 | Daily SMA20 | 168.98 |
| 1 | Daily SMA50 | 165.58 |
| 2 | Daily SMA100 | 163.01 |
| 3 | Daily SMA200 | 163.77 |
The previous day high was 170.84 while the previous day low was 169.4. The daily 38.2% Fib levels comes at 169.95, expected to provide support. Similarly, the daily 61.8% fib level is at 170.29, expected to provide support.
Note the levels of interest below:
- Pivot support is noted at 169.55, 168.76, 168.12
- Pivot resistance is noted at 170.99, 171.63, 172.42
| Levels | Levels.1 |
|---|---|
| Previous Daily High | 170.84 |
| Previous Daily Low | 169.40 |
| Previous Weekly High | 171.18 |
| Previous Weekly Low | 167.84 |
| Previous Monthly High | 171.18 |
| Previous Monthly Low | 162.78 |
| Daily Fibonacci 38.2% | 169.95 |
| Daily Fibonacci 61.8% | 170.29 |
| Daily Pivot Point S1 | 169.55 |
| Daily Pivot Point S2 | 168.76 |
| Daily Pivot Point S3 | 168.12 |
| Daily Pivot Point R1 | 170.99 |
| Daily Pivot Point R2 | 171.63 |
| Daily Pivot Point R3 | 172.42 |
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