#NZDUSD @ 0.61502 picks up bids to reverse late Thursday’s pullback from 200-DMA., @nehcap view: Further downside expected (Pivot Orderbook analysis)
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- NZD/USD picks up bids to reverse late Thursday’s pullback from 200-DMA.
- Bearish MACD signals, steady RSI keeps Kiwi pair sellers hopeful.
- Three-week-old descending trend line adds to the upside filters.
- Upward-sloping support line from November 2022 becomes crucial to watch NZD/USD bears.
The pair currently trades last at 0.61502.
The previous day high was 0.6163 while the previous day low was 0.6111. The daily 38.2% Fib levels comes at 0.6131, expected to provide support. Similarly, the daily 61.8% fib level is at 0.6143, expected to provide support.
NZD/USD regains upside momentum after two failed attempts to cross the 200-DMA hurdles, grinds higher around mid-0.6100s during early Friday.
Not only the repeated failures to cross the 200-DMA hurdle, around 0.6160 by the press time, but the bearish MACD signals also weigh on the Kiwi pair prices. That said, a steady RSI (14) line signals further grinding of the NZD/USD.
It’s worth noting that the quote’s break of the 200-DMA resistance surrounding 0.6160 isn’t an open welcome for the bulls as a downward-sloping resistance line from early April, close to 0.6180 could challenge the pair’s further upside.
Even if the NZD/USD price rallies beyond 0.6180, multiple levels marked during late March around the 0.6200 threshold can act as the last defense of the bears.
On the flip side, the recent bottom around the 0.6100 round figure can prod the NZD/USD bears before directing them to the key support line stretched from November 2022, around 0.6090 at the latest.
Should the NZD/USD pair offers a daily closing below 0.6090, the previous monthly low of near 0.6085 and the mid-November 2022 bottom of around 0.6065 may act as an extra filter towards the south before welcoming the bears with open hands.
Trend: Further downside expected
Technical Levels: Supports and Resistances
NZDUSD currently trading at 0.6146 at the time of writing. Pair opened at 0.6117 and is trading with a change of 0.47% % .
| Overview | Overview.1 | |
|---|---|---|
| 0 | Today last price | 0.6146 |
| 1 | Today Daily Change | 0.0029 |
| 2 | Today Daily Change % | 0.47% |
| 3 | Today daily open | 0.6117 |
The pair remains strongly bearish on the daily time frame. It trades below the 20 SMA @ 0.6215, 50 SMA 0.621, 100 SMA @ 0.629 and 200 SMA @ 0.6161.
| Trends | Trends.1 | |
|---|---|---|
| 0 | Daily SMA20 | 0.6215 |
| 1 | Daily SMA50 | 0.6210 |
| 2 | Daily SMA100 | 0.6290 |
| 3 | Daily SMA200 | 0.6161 |
The previous day high was 0.6163 while the previous day low was 0.6111. The daily 38.2% Fib levels comes at 0.6131, expected to provide support. Similarly, the daily 61.8% fib level is at 0.6143, expected to provide support.
Note the levels of interest below:
- Pivot support is noted at 0.612, 0.6093, 0.6072
- Pivot resistance is noted at 0.6168, 0.6189, 0.6216
| Levels | Levels.1 |
|---|---|
| Previous Daily High | 0.6163 |
| Previous Daily Low | 0.6111 |
| Previous Weekly High | 0.6227 |
| Previous Weekly Low | 0.6126 |
| Previous Monthly High | 0.6298 |
| Previous Monthly Low | 0.6084 |
| Daily Fibonacci 38.2% | 0.6131 |
| Daily Fibonacci 61.8% | 0.6143 |
| Daily Pivot Point S1 | 0.6120 |
| Daily Pivot Point S2 | 0.6093 |
| Daily Pivot Point S3 | 0.6072 |
| Daily Pivot Point R1 | 0.6168 |
| Daily Pivot Point R2 | 0.6189 |
| Daily Pivot Point R3 | 0.6216 |
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