#USDJPY @ 132.533 retreats from over a two-week high touched earlier this Monday. (Pivot Orderbook analysis)
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- USD/JPY retreats from over a two-week high touched earlier this Monday.
- The emergence of fresh selling around the USD exerts downward pressure.
- The 100-day SMA and 50% Fibo. confluence hurdle holds the key for bulls.
The pair currently trades last at 132.533.
The previous day high was 133.6 while the previous day low was 132.59. The daily 38.2% Fib levels comes at 133.21, expected to provide resistance. Similarly, the daily 61.8% fib level is at 132.97, expected to provide resistance.
The USD/JPY pair attracts some sellers after touching over a two-week high on Monday and trades just below the 133.00 round-figure mark during the early North American session.
The US Dollar (USD) struggles to capitalize on its intraday gains amid the uncertainty over the Fed’s rate-hike path, which turns out to be a key factor exerting some downward pressure on the USD/JPY pair. The downside, however, seems limited, at least for the time being, amid a generally positive risk tone, which tends to undermine the traditional safe-haven Japanese Yen (JPY).
From a technical perspective, the USD/JPY pair faces rejection near the 133.75 confluence hurdle, comprising the 50% Fibonacci retracement level of the March downfall and the 100-day Simple Moving Average (SMA). The said area should now act as a pivotal point, which if cleared will set the stage for an extension of the recent move-up witnessed over the past week or so.
That said, oscillators on the daily chart are yet to confirm a bullish outlook, making it prudent to wait for a move beyond the aforementioned barrier before positioning for any further gains. The USD/JPY pair might then aim to surpass the 134.00 round-figure mark and accelerate the momentum towards testing the 61.8% Fibo. level resistance, around the 134.75-134.80 region.
On the flip side, any further slide below the 132.80 area, or the 38.2% Fibo. level, is likely to find decent support near the 132.25 region ahead of the 132.00 mark and the 23.6% Fibo. level, around the 131.60-131.55 zone. A convincing break below the latter could drag the USD/JPY pair below the 131.00 mark, towards the next relevant support near the 130.55-130.50 region.
Technical Levels: Supports and Resistances
USDJPY currently trading at 132.97 at the time of writing. Pair opened at 132.87 and is trading with a change of 0.08 % .
| Overview | Overview.1 | |
|---|---|---|
| 0 | Today last price | 132.97 |
| 1 | Today Daily Change | 0.10 |
| 2 | Today Daily Change % | 0.08 |
| 3 | Today daily open | 132.87 |
The pair is trading below its 20 Daily moving average @ 133.27, above its 50 Daily moving average @ 132.95 , below its 100 Daily moving average @ 133.87 and below its 200 Daily moving average @ 137.32
| Trends | Trends.1 | |
|---|---|---|
| 0 | Daily SMA20 | 133.27 |
| 1 | Daily SMA50 | 132.95 |
| 2 | Daily SMA100 | 133.87 |
| 3 | Daily SMA200 | 137.32 |
The previous day high was 133.6 while the previous day low was 132.59. The daily 38.2% Fib levels comes at 133.21, expected to provide resistance. Similarly, the daily 61.8% fib level is at 132.97, expected to provide resistance.
Note the levels of interest below:
- Pivot support is noted at 132.44, 132.01, 131.43
- Pivot resistance is noted at 133.45, 134.03, 134.46
| Levels | Levels.1 |
|---|---|
| Previous Daily High | 133.60 |
| Previous Daily Low | 132.59 |
| Previous Weekly High | 133.60 |
| Previous Weekly Low | 130.41 |
| Previous Monthly High | 137.91 |
| Previous Monthly Low | 129.64 |
| Daily Fibonacci 38.2% | 133.21 |
| Daily Fibonacci 61.8% | 132.97 |
| Daily Pivot Point S1 | 132.44 |
| Daily Pivot Point S2 | 132.01 |
| Daily Pivot Point S3 | 131.43 |
| Daily Pivot Point R1 | 133.45 |
| Daily Pivot Point R2 | 134.03 |
| Daily Pivot Point R3 | 134.46 |
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