#EURJPY @ 140.755 is looking to scale above 141.00 as the ECB is preparing for more hikes. (Pivot Orderbook analysis)
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- EUR/JPY is looking to scale above 141.00 as the ECB is preparing for more hikes.
- ECB Schnabel cited that headline inflation has begun to decline although said core inflation remains sticky.
- The speech from BoJ Ueda will provide guidance about the likely monetary policy action.
The pair currently trades last at 140.755.
The previous day high was 141.85 while the previous day low was 139.07. The daily 38.2% Fib levels comes at 140.13, expected to provide support. Similarly, the daily 61.8% fib level is at 140.79, expected to provide resistance.
The EUR/JPY pair is facing barricades around 141.00 in the Tokyo session. The cross is struggling in extending its recovery above the aforementioned resistance, however, the upside seems favored as the European Central Bank (ECB) is preparing more rate hikes ahead.
Isabel Schnabel, Member of the ECB’s Executive Board, has said headline inflation has begun to decline although said core inflation remains sticky. The ECB would be needed immense strength to bring higher inflation down to the desired levels, therefore, more rate hikes cannot be ruled out.
On the Japanese Yen front, the speech from Bank of Japan (BoJ) Governor Kazuo Ueda, scheduled for Tuesday, will be of significant importance. This will provide guidance about the likely monetary policy action.
EUR/JPY has rebounded firmly from the horizontal support of the Bearish Megaphone chart pattern formed on a two-hour scale. The horizontal support of the chart pattern is plotted from March 16 low at 139.13 while the upward-sloping trendline is placed at 141.58. Usually, a bearish megaphone pattern results in sheer weakness after the breakdown of critical support.
The 50-period Exponential Moving Average (EMA) at 141.00 is acting as resistance for the Eurozone bulls.
Meanwhile, the Relative Strength Index (RSI) (14) has shifted into the 40.00-60.00 range from the bearish range of 20.00-40.00, which indicates a reversal for the time being.
Should the asset breaks above March 21 high at 142.79, Euro bulls would drive the cross toward March 09 low around 144.00 followed by March 15 high at 145.00.
On the flip side, a downside break below March 16 low at 139.13 would drag the cross toward January 19 low at 138.00. A slippage below the same would expose the asset to a 26 September 2022 low of around 137.36.
Technical Levels: Supports and Resistances
EURJPY currently trading at 140.7 at the time of writing. Pair opened at 140.64 and is trading with a change of 0.04 % .
| Overview | Overview.1 | |
|---|---|---|
| 0 | Today last price | 140.70 |
| 1 | Today Daily Change | 0.06 |
| 2 | Today Daily Change % | 0.04 |
| 3 | Today daily open | 140.64 |
The pair remains strongly bearish on the daily time frame. It trades below the 20 SMA @ 143.22, 50 SMA 142.24, 100 SMA @ 142.66 and 200 SMA @ 141.84.
| Trends | Trends.1 | |
|---|---|---|
| 0 | Daily SMA20 | 143.22 |
| 1 | Daily SMA50 | 142.24 |
| 2 | Daily SMA100 | 142.66 |
| 3 | Daily SMA200 | 141.84 |
The previous day high was 141.85 while the previous day low was 139.07. The daily 38.2% Fib levels comes at 140.13, expected to provide support. Similarly, the daily 61.8% fib level is at 140.79, expected to provide resistance.
Note the levels of interest below:
- Pivot support is noted at 139.19, 137.74, 136.41
- Pivot resistance is noted at 141.97, 143.3, 144.74
| Levels | Levels.1 |
|---|---|
| Previous Daily High | 141.85 |
| Previous Daily Low | 139.07 |
| Previous Weekly High | 143.63 |
| Previous Weekly Low | 138.83 |
| Previous Monthly High | 145.47 |
| Previous Monthly Low | 139.55 |
| Daily Fibonacci 38.2% | 140.13 |
| Daily Fibonacci 61.8% | 140.79 |
| Daily Pivot Point S1 | 139.19 |
| Daily Pivot Point S2 | 137.74 |
| Daily Pivot Point S3 | 136.41 |
| Daily Pivot Point R1 | 141.97 |
| Daily Pivot Point R2 | 143.30 |
| Daily Pivot Point R3 | 144.74 |
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