#GBPUSD @ 1.19903 regains positive traction on Friday and reverses a major part of the overnight losses. (Pivot Orderbook analysis)

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#GBPUSD @ 1.19903 regains positive traction on Friday and reverses a major part of the overnight losses. (Pivot Orderbook analysis)

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  • GBP/USD regains positive traction on Friday and reverses a major part of the overnight losses.
  • The four-week-old trading range warrants caution before placing aggressive directional bets.
  • Bearish oscillators on the daily chart support prospects for a break below the 200-day SMA.

The pair currently trades last at 1.19903.

The previous day high was 1.2036 while the previous day low was 1.1925. The daily 38.2% Fib levels comes at 1.1967, expected to provide support. Similarly, the daily 61.8% fib level is at 1.1994, expected to provide resistance.

The GBP/USD pair attracts some dip-buying on Friday and recovers a major part of the previous day’s slide to the 1.1920-1.1915 support zone. The pair maintains its bid tone around the 1.2000 psychological mark through the early North American session and is supported by broad-based US Dollar weakness.

Looking at the broader picture, the two-way price moves witnessed over the past four weeks or so constitute the formation of a rectangle on the daily chart. The lower end of the trading band coincides with a technically significant 200-day Simple Moving Average (SMA) and should now act as a pivotal point.

A convincing break below will make the GBP/USD pair vulnerable to weaken further below the 1.1900 mark and test the YTD low, around the 1.1840 region touched in January. Some follow-through selling will complete a bearish double-top pattern formed near the 1.2445-1.2450 area and pave the way for deeper losses.

On the flip side, the overnight swing high, around the 1.2035 area, might act as an immediate hurdle ahead of the 1.2065-1.2070 supply zone. Any subsequent move-up could attract fresh sellers near the 1.2100 mark and remain capped near the 50-day SMA strong barrier, currently around the 1.2135-1.2140 area.

Some follow-through buying could lift the GBP/USD pair towards the 1.2200 mark en route to the February 14 peak, around the 1.2265-1.2270 region. A sustained strength beyond the latter will suggest that the slide from the 1.2445-1.2450 zone has run its course and shift the near-term bias back in favour of bullish traders.

Technical Levels: Supports and Resistances

GBPUSD currently trading at 1.1986 at the time of writing. Pair opened at 1.1951 and is trading with a change of 0.29 % .

Overview Overview.1
0 Today last price 1.1986
1 Today Daily Change 0.0035
2 Today Daily Change % 0.2900
3 Today daily open 1.1951

The pair is trading below its 20 Daily moving average @ 1.2047, below its 50 Daily moving average @ 1.2141 , above its 100 Daily moving average @ 1.1977 and above its 200 Daily moving average @ 1.1919

Trends Trends.1
0 Daily SMA20 1.2047
1 Daily SMA50 1.2141
2 Daily SMA100 1.1977
3 Daily SMA200 1.1919

The previous day high was 1.2036 while the previous day low was 1.1925. The daily 38.2% Fib levels comes at 1.1967, expected to provide support. Similarly, the daily 61.8% fib level is at 1.1994, expected to provide resistance.

Note the levels of interest below:

  • Pivot support is noted at 1.1905, 1.1859, 1.1794
  • Pivot resistance is noted at 1.2016, 1.2082, 1.2128
Levels Levels.1
Previous Daily High 1.2036
Previous Daily Low 1.1925
Previous Weekly High 1.2148
Previous Weekly Low 1.1928
Previous Monthly High 1.2402
Previous Monthly Low 1.1915
Daily Fibonacci 38.2% 1.1967
Daily Fibonacci 61.8% 1.1994
Daily Pivot Point S1 1.1905
Daily Pivot Point S2 1.1859
Daily Pivot Point S3 1.1794
Daily Pivot Point R1 1.2016
Daily Pivot Point R2 1.2082
Daily Pivot Point R3 1.2128

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