#XAUUSD @ 1,793.52 Gold price bounces off intraday low as traders await key central bank announcements., @nehcap view: Recovery expected (Pivot Orderbook analysis)

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• Gold price bounces off intraday low as traders await key central bank announcements.
• US Dollar rebound teases XAU/USD bears but cautious mood restricts movements.
• Lack of surprises from Fed initially weighed on US Dollar before the recession woes triggered USD rebound.

The pair currently trades last at 1793.52.

The previous day high was 1814.19 while the previous day low was 1795.61. The daily 38.2% Fib levels comes at 1802.71, expected to provide resistance. Similarly, the daily 61.8% fib level is at 1807.09, expected to provide resistance.

Gold price (XAU/USD) recovers from the intraday low as it picks up bids to $1,795 heading into Thursday’s European session. The metal’s latest rebound could be linked to the technical correction, as well as the market’s cautious mood ahead of the multiple central bank announcements.

The metal dropped in the last two days as the US Federal Reserve (Fed) showed readiness to keep the interest rate high while announcing the 50 basis points (bps) rate hike, as expected. Also likely to have weighed the XAU/USD price could be the downbeat Industrial Production and Retail Sales data from China, one of the key customers of Gold.

It should be noted, however, that the recent anxiety ahead of the monetary policy decisions from the Swiss National Bank (SNB), European Central Bank (ECB) and the Bank of England (BOE) seemed to have triggered the market’s consolidation. Additionally important is the US Retail Sales for November, expected -0.1% MoM versus 1.3% prior.

Amid these plays, the US 10-year Treasury bond yields probe a two-day downtrend near 3.50% while the two-year US bond yields also extend recovery from the monthly low while printing the first daily positive in three near 4.25%. Also portraying the lackluster markets is the sluggish S&P 500 Futures and mixed performance of the Asia-Pacific shares.

It’s worth mentioning that the US Dollar Index (DXY) prints the first daily gains in three while bouncing off the six-month low, which in turn challenges the Gold buyers.

To sum up, the Gold price remains pressured ahead of the key central bank announcements despite the latest recovery moves.

Gold price pares intraday losses while bouncing off the 200-Hourly Moving Average (HMA), currently around $1,790. The recovery moves also take clues from the oversold RSI conditions to tease the buyers.

However, bearish MACD signals and multiple hurdles towards the north challenge the XAU/USD bulls. Among them, a two-week-old horizontal resistance area near $1,805 gains the attention of intraday buyers.

Following that, a downward-sloping resistance line from Tuesday, near $1,810, could act as an additional upside filter to challenge the Gold buyers.

On the flip side, an ascending trend line from November 30 adds strength to the $1,790 support, by joining the 200-HMA.

In a case where the Gold price remains bearish past $1,790, the resulting downturn could aim for the weekly low near $1,777 and then to the monthly trough surrounding $1,765.

Overall, the Gold price remains bullish unless breaking $1,790 support confluence.

Trend: Recovery expected

Technical Levels: Supports and Resistances

XAUUSD currently trading at 1796.21 at the time of writing. Pair opened at 1806.61 and is trading with a change of -0.58% % .

The pair remains strongly bullish on the daily timeframe. It trades above its 20 SMA @ 1770.93, 50 SMA 1716.12, 100 SMA @ 1720.25 and 200 SMA @ 1789.16.

The previous day high was 1814.19 while the previous day low was 1795.61. The daily 38.2% Fib levels comes at 1802.71, expected to provide resistance. Similarly, the daily 61.8% fib level is at 1807.09, expected to provide resistance.

Note the levels of interest below:

• Pivot support is noted at 1796.75, 1786.89, 1778.17
• Pivot resistance is noted at 1815.33, 1824.05, 1833.91

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