#AUDJPY @ 92.8260 picks up bids to print the first daily gain in three after mixed data from Australia. (Pivot Orderbook analysis)
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- AUD/JPY picks up bids to print the first daily gain in three after mixed data from Australia.
- Australia’s employment report for November, Consumer Inflation Expectations for December came in mixed.
- Yields remain downbeat and weigh on AUD/JPY amid sluggish session.
The pair currently trades last at 92.8260.
The previous day high was 93.1 while the previous day low was 92.4. The daily 38.2% Fib levels comes at 92.67, expected to provide support. Similarly, the daily 61.8% fib level is at 92.83, expected to provide resistance.
AUD/JPY picks up bids to print mild gains around 93.00 during the aftermath of Australia’s key employment and inflation numbers. In doing so, the Aussie cross portrays the first daily positive in three despite witnessing mixed data.
That said, Australia’s Consumer Inflation Expectations dropped to 5.2% for December versus 5.7% expected and 6.0% prior while a jump in Employment Change and static Unemployment Rate allowed the Australia Dollar (AUD) to stay firmer. It’s worth noting that the improvement in the Aussie Participation Rate also favored the AUD/JPY bulls.
Also read: Aussie jobs data beats expectations, AUD robust
It should be noted that the consolidation of the US Treasury yields around the multi-day low also seemed to have favored the AUD/JPY pair traders. That said, the US 10-year Treasury bond yields probe a two-day downtrend near 3.50% while the two-year counterpart also extends recovery from the monthly low while printing the first daily positive near 4.25% in three.
The recovery in the yields could be linked to the reassessment of the US Federal Reserve (Fed) monetary policy announcements that initially were perceived as dovish despite the 50 bps rate hike and hints for more such moves.
While the data and yields favor the AUD/JPY bulls, an improvement in Japan’s Merchandise Trade Balance to ¥-227.4B in November versus ¥-1,680.3B expected and ¥-2,166.2B failed to impress the pair bears.
Moving on, the AUD/JPY pair traders will pay attention to the risk catalysts and data from China for fresh impulse. That said, China’s Industrial Production and Retail Sales numbers for November, up for publishing at 02:00 GMT, are expected to print 3.6% and -3.6% figures versus 5.0% and -0.5% priors in that order.
AUD/JPY justifies the latest failure to cross the 21-DMA, the 200-DMA and a downward-sloping resistance line from early September ahead of Australia’s employment report and Consumer Inflation Expectations. Given the quote’s repeated failures to cross the aforementioned key hurdles, the cross-currency pair is likely to decline toward an eight-day-old ascending support line, near 92.40.
Technical Levels: Supports and Resistances
AUDJPY currently trading at 92.87 at the time of writing. Pair opened at 92.82 and is trading with a change of 0.05% % .
| Overview | Overview.1 | |
|---|---|---|
| 0 | Today last price | 92.87 |
| 1 | Today Daily Change | 0.05 |
| 2 | Today Daily Change % | 0.05% |
| 3 | Today daily open | 92.82 |
The pair remains strongly bearish on the daily time frame. It trades below the 20 SMA @ 92.91, 50 SMA 93.42, 100 SMA @ 94.07 and 200 SMA @ 93.19.
| Trends | Trends.1 | |
|---|---|---|
| 0 | Daily SMA20 | 92.91 |
| 1 | Daily SMA50 | 93.42 |
| 2 | Daily SMA100 | 94.07 |
| 3 | Daily SMA200 | 93.19 |
The previous day high was 93.1 while the previous day low was 92.4. The daily 38.2% Fib levels comes at 92.67, expected to provide support. Similarly, the daily 61.8% fib level is at 92.83, expected to provide resistance.
Note the levels of interest below:
- Pivot support is noted at 92.45, 92.07, 91.75
- Pivot resistance is noted at 93.15, 93.47, 93.85
| Levels | Levels.1 |
|---|---|
| Previous Daily High | 93.10 |
| Previous Daily Low | 92.40 |
| Previous Weekly High | 92.90 |
| Previous Weekly Low | 91.14 |
| Previous Monthly High | 95.56 |
| Previous Monthly Low | 92.15 |
| Daily Fibonacci 38.2% | 92.67 |
| Daily Fibonacci 61.8% | 92.83 |
| Daily Pivot Point S1 | 92.45 |
| Daily Pivot Point S2 | 92.07 |
| Daily Pivot Point S3 | 91.75 |
| Daily Pivot Point R1 | 93.15 |
| Daily Pivot Point R2 | 93.47 |
| Daily Pivot Point R3 | 93.85 |
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