#AUDUSD @ 0.68532 reverses modest intraday losses, though lacks follow-through buying. (Pivot Orderbook analysis)

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#AUDUSD @ 0.68532 reverses modest intraday losses, though lacks follow-through buying. (Pivot Orderbook analysis)

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  • AUD/USD reverses modest intraday losses, though lacks follow-through buying.
  • The risk-on mood lends support to the Aussie; a modest USD uptick caps gains.
  • Traders now look to the key FOMC policy decision for a fresh directional impetus.

The pair currently trades last at 0.68532.

The previous day high was 0.6893 while the previous day low was 0.674. The daily 38.2% Fib levels comes at 0.6835, expected to provide support. Similarly, the daily 61.8% fib level is at 0.6799, expected to provide support.

The AUD/USD pair attracts some dip-buying on Wednesday and stalls the previous day’s modest pullback from the vicinity of the 0.6900 mark, or its highest level since September 13. The pair climbs to the top end of its daily trading range during the early European session and is currently placed around the mid-0.6800s.

A generally positive tone around the equity markets turns out to be a key factor benefitting the risk-sensitive Australian Dollar. That said, a modest US Dollar strength could act as a headwind for the AUD/USD pair and keep a lid on any meaningful upside. The USD uptick, meanwhile, could be solely attributed to some repositioning trade ahead of the key central bank event risk and runs the risk of fizzling out quickly amid expectations for a less hawkish Fed.

The softer-than-expected US consumer inflation figures released on Tuesday reaffirmed expectations that the US central bank will slow the pace of its policy tightening. In fact, the Fed is widely expected to deliver a relatively smaller 50 bps rate hike at the end of a two-day meeting later this Wednesday. Hence, investors will closely scrutinize the accompanying monetary policy statement and the so-called “dot plot” for fresh clues about the Fed’s rate-hike path.

In the meantime, nervousness about policymakers’ view on a significant cooling in US inflation could lend support to the buck and cap gains for the AUD/USD pair. Nevertheless, the fundamental backdrop seems tilted in favour of bullish traders and supports prospects for a further appreciating move. Even from a technical perspective, the overnight breakout through the 0.6800 mark and the emergence of some dip-buying on Wednesday add credence to the positive outlook.

Technical Levels: Supports and Resistances

AUDUSD currently trading at 0.6852 at the time of writing. Pair opened at 0.685 and is trading with a change of 0.03 % .

Overview Overview.1
0 Today last price 0.6852
1 Today Daily Change 0.0002
2 Today Daily Change % 0.0300
3 Today daily open 0.6850

The pair is trading above its 20 Daily moving average @ 0.6731, above its 50 Daily moving average @ 0.6539 , above its 100 Daily moving average @ 0.6677 and below its 200 Daily moving average @ 0.6905

Trends Trends.1
0 Daily SMA20 0.6731
1 Daily SMA50 0.6539
2 Daily SMA100 0.6677
3 Daily SMA200 0.6905

The previous day high was 0.6893 while the previous day low was 0.674. The daily 38.2% Fib levels comes at 0.6835, expected to provide support. Similarly, the daily 61.8% fib level is at 0.6799, expected to provide support.

Note the levels of interest below:

  • Pivot support is noted at 0.6762, 0.6675, 0.6609
  • Pivot resistance is noted at 0.6915, 0.6981, 0.7069
Levels Levels.1
Previous Daily High 0.6893
Previous Daily Low 0.6740
Previous Weekly High 0.6851
Previous Weekly Low 0.6669
Previous Monthly High 0.6801
Previous Monthly Low 0.6272
Daily Fibonacci 38.2% 0.6835
Daily Fibonacci 61.8% 0.6799
Daily Pivot Point S1 0.6762
Daily Pivot Point S2 0.6675
Daily Pivot Point S3 0.6609
Daily Pivot Point R1 0.6915
Daily Pivot Point R2 0.6981
Daily Pivot Point R3 0.7069

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