Pivotal week for 2023 themes to determine Dollar’s fate – ING

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A pivotal week for FX and global asset markets lies ahead of us. The two key event risks are tomorrow’s US November CPI reading and Wednesday’s FOMC meeting. Economists at ING analyze how the US Dollar could react to these event risks

“Event risks this week will determine whether 2023 starts with a focus on the inflation battle being won and the prospect of stimulative, reflationary policy coming through – a Dollar negative. Or whether sticky inflation ties the hands of central bankers, the US yield curve remains steeply inverted and the Dollar continues to perform well in a challenging risk environment. We do see the latter scenario as more likely, but this week should certainly give one of the scenarios a big lift.”

“There is very little on the US calendar today and we would expect DXY to go into tomorrow’s CPI release near its current 105 levels.”

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