#AUDUSD @ 0.67453 has stretched its recovery above 0.6750 as the risk-off impulse has lost its traction. (Pivot Orderbook analysis)
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- AUD/USD has stretched its recovery above 0.6750 as the risk-off impulse has lost its traction.
- A decline in November US PPI numbers has resulted in lower consensus for inflation data.
- This week, The speech from RBA Governor and Australian payroll data will remain in focus.
The pair currently trades last at 0.67453.
The previous day high was 0.6814 while the previous day low was 0.6744. The daily 38.2% Fib levels comes at 0.6787, expected to provide resistance. Similarly, the daily 61.8% fib level is at 0.677, expected to provide resistance.
The AUD/USD pair has extended its gains to near 0.6751 in the early Asian session after rebounding from near 0.6730. The Aussie asset has shown strength and has gauged recovery as investors are shrugging off anxiety ahead of the United States Consumer Price Index (CPI). The US Dollar Index (DXY) has again failed in surpassing the critical resistance of 105.20 and has dropped to near 105.00.
S&P500 manifested a sharp recovery Monday as investors cheered expectations of a slowdown in the current interest rate hike pace by the Federal Reserve (Fed), portraying a recovery in the risk appetite theme. The 10-year US Treasury yields recovered sharply and has overstepped the crucial hurdle of 3.60%.
Investors are keeping an eye on the release of the United States inflation data as it will set the ground for Wednesday’s Fed policy. As per the projections, the headline US inflation is seen lower at 7.3% vs. the former release of 7.7%. Also, the core US inflation that excludes oil and food prices is seen lower at 6.1% against the prior figure of 6.3%. A fresh decline in consensus for US CPI is supported by a sheer drop in US Producer Price Index (PPI) data.
November’s US headline PPI dropped sharply to 7.4% as manufacturers were forced to reduce prices of the end products at the factory gate due to a decline in consumer spending.
On the Aussie front, investors are keeping an eye on the speech from Reserve Bank of Australia (RBA) Governor Philip Lowe, which is scheduled for Wednesday. The speech from RBA Governor will provide cues about the likely monetary policy action in January 2023. Apart from that investors will focus on Thursday’s employment data.
Technical Levels: Supports and Resistances
AUDUSD currently trading at 0.6745 at the time of writing. Pair opened at 0.6795 and is trading with a change of -0.74 % .
| Overview | Overview.1 | |
|---|---|---|
| 0 | Today last price | 0.6745 |
| 1 | Today Daily Change | -0.0050 |
| 2 | Today Daily Change % | -0.7400 |
| 3 | Today daily open | 0.6795 |
The pair is trading above its 20 Daily moving average @ 0.6724, above its 50 Daily moving average @ 0.6527 , above its 100 Daily moving average @ 0.668 and below its 200 Daily moving average @ 0.691
| Trends | Trends.1 | |
|---|---|---|
| 0 | Daily SMA20 | 0.6724 |
| 1 | Daily SMA50 | 0.6527 |
| 2 | Daily SMA100 | 0.6680 |
| 3 | Daily SMA200 | 0.6910 |
The previous day high was 0.6814 while the previous day low was 0.6744. The daily 38.2% Fib levels comes at 0.6787, expected to provide resistance. Similarly, the daily 61.8% fib level is at 0.677, expected to provide resistance.
Note the levels of interest below:
- Pivot support is noted at 0.6754, 0.6714, 0.6684
- Pivot resistance is noted at 0.6824, 0.6854, 0.6894
| Levels | Levels.1 |
|---|---|
| Previous Daily High | 0.6814 |
| Previous Daily Low | 0.6744 |
| Previous Weekly High | 0.6851 |
| Previous Weekly Low | 0.6669 |
| Previous Monthly High | 0.6801 |
| Previous Monthly Low | 0.6272 |
| Daily Fibonacci 38.2% | 0.6787 |
| Daily Fibonacci 61.8% | 0.6770 |
| Daily Pivot Point S1 | 0.6754 |
| Daily Pivot Point S2 | 0.6714 |
| Daily Pivot Point S3 | 0.6684 |
| Daily Pivot Point R1 | 0.6824 |
| Daily Pivot Point R2 | 0.6854 |
| Daily Pivot Point R3 | 0.6894 |
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