#GBPUSD @ 1.22347 is aiming to overstep the 1.2250 hurdle on expectations of slowdown in Fed’s rate hike pace. (Pivot Orderbook analysis)
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- GBP/USD is aiming to overstep the 1.2250 hurdle on expectations of slowdown in Fed’s rate hike pace.
- The BOE is set to hike rates further by 50 bps despite the economy falling into recession.
- S&P500 snapped a three-day losing streak as investors shrugged off recession fears.
The pair currently trades last at 1.22347.
The previous day high was 1.2235 while the previous day low was 1.2107. The daily 38.2% Fib levels comes at 1.2186, expected to provide support. Similarly, the daily 61.8% fib level is at 1.2156, expected to provide support.
The GBP/USD pair is gathering momentum to surpass the immediate hurdle of 1.2250 in the early Tokyo session. The Cable is displaying a sideways auction profile after sustaining above the round-kevel resistance of 1.2200. Positive market sentiment has tilted bias for more upside in the Cable ahead. The US Dollar Index (DXY) is expected to remain on the tenterhooks as investors are shifting their focus to the monetary policy meeting by the Federal Reserve (Fed), which is due next week.
S&P500 snapped a three-day losing streak and recovered firmly after investors shrugged off recession fears. The 10-year US Treasury yields followed optimism in US equities and escalated to 3.49%.
The Pound Sterling is likely to remain in action as investors are awaiting the release of the monthly Gross Domestic Product (GDP) data, which will release on Monday. As per the estimates, the United Kingdom GDP data will improve to 0.1% contraction vs. the prior 0.5% contraction. Apart from that, Industrial and Manufacturing Production figures will be of utmost importance.
Key trigger that will bring power-pack action in the Pound Sterling is the interest rate decision by the Bank of England (BOE). A poll on interest rate hike expectations by the BOE taken by Reuters speaks that the Bank of England will add another 50 basis points (bps) next week and take borrowing costs to 3.50%, despite the economy falling into recession.
On the United States front, rising expectations of a slowdown in an interest rate hike by the Federal Reserve (Fed) are weighing on the US Dollar. Fed chair Jerome Powell is expected to decelerate the current pace of interest rate hike and will announce a 50 bps addition in borrowing costs.
Technical Levels: Supports and Resistances
GBPUSD currently trading at 1.2235 at the time of writing. Pair opened at 1.2213 and is trading with a change of 0.18 % .
| Overview | Overview.1 | |
|---|---|---|
| 0 | Today last price | 1.2235 |
| 1 | Today Daily Change | 0.0022 |
| 2 | Today Daily Change % | 0.1800 |
| 3 | Today daily open | 1.2213 |
The pair remains strongly bullish on the daily timeframe. It trades above its 20 SMA @ 1.1992, 50 SMA 1.1588, 100 SMA @ 1.1662 and 200 SMA @ 1.2131.
| Trends | Trends.1 | |
|---|---|---|
| 0 | Daily SMA20 | 1.1992 |
| 1 | Daily SMA50 | 1.1588 |
| 2 | Daily SMA100 | 1.1662 |
| 3 | Daily SMA200 | 1.2131 |
The previous day high was 1.2235 while the previous day low was 1.2107. The daily 38.2% Fib levels comes at 1.2186, expected to provide support. Similarly, the daily 61.8% fib level is at 1.2156, expected to provide support.
Note the levels of interest below:
- Pivot support is noted at 1.2135, 1.2057, 1.2007
- Pivot resistance is noted at 1.2263, 1.2313, 1.239
| Levels | Levels.1 |
|---|---|
| Previous Daily High | 1.2235 |
| Previous Daily Low | 1.2107 |
| Previous Weekly High | 1.2311 |
| Previous Weekly Low | 1.1900 |
| Previous Monthly High | 1.2154 |
| Previous Monthly Low | 1.1147 |
| Daily Fibonacci 38.2% | 1.2186 |
| Daily Fibonacci 61.8% | 1.2156 |
| Daily Pivot Point S1 | 1.2135 |
| Daily Pivot Point S2 | 1.2057 |
| Daily Pivot Point S3 | 1.2007 |
| Daily Pivot Point R1 | 1.2263 |
| Daily Pivot Point R2 | 1.2313 |
| Daily Pivot Point R3 | 1.2390 |
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