#GBPJPY @ 168.043 jumps nearly 150 pips on BoJ inaction, pierces the key technical hurdle. (Pivot Orderbook analysis)
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- GBP/JPY jumps nearly 150 pips on BoJ inaction, pierces the key technical hurdle.
- BoJ matches market forecasts with no change to monetary policy, YCC measures.
- UK Business Sentiment hits 11 months high and favors cross-currency pair buyers.
- Newly appointed Governor Ueda’s speech will be the key for immediate directions.
The pair currently trades last at 168.043.
The previous day high was 167.5 while the previous day low was 166.32. The daily 38.2% Fib levels comes at 167.05, expected to provide support. Similarly, the daily 61.8% fib level is at 166.77, expected to provide support.
GBP/JPY takes the bids to refresh the yearly high around 168.15 as bulls cheer the Bank of Japan’s (BoJ) status quo during early Friday. Also underpinning the cross-currency pair’s run-up could be the technical breakout and upbeat UK sentiment data.
BoJ held benchmark interest rates unchanged at -0.10% while also defending the latest 0.50% band of the Yield Curve Control (YCC) policy, as expected. However, the BoJ also said that they will take additional easing steps without hesitation as needed while striving for market stability. With this, the market took a sigh of relief that no change is likely under the new governorship.
Also read: BOJ Quarterly Outlook Report: Uncertainty over Japan’s economy extremely high
Apart from the BoJ action, a jump in the UK business confidence, per the Lloyds Bank survey for March also seemed to have propelled the GBP/JPY price. As per the latest poll, the British Business Sentiment rallied to an 11-month high of 33.0% in March versus 32.0% prior. Additionally, the survey also showed a seven-month high in wage growth, which in turn can push the Bank of England (BoE) towards being more hawkish.
As a result, the divergence between the BoJ and BoE monetary policies offers an extra boost to the GBP/JPY prices.
Furthermore, cautious optimism in the market and upbeat Treasury bond yields allow the GBP/JPY pair buyers to keep the reins as well.
To sum up, the GBP/JPY pair buyers are properly set in the driver’s seat. However, BoJ Governor Kazuo Ueda’s press conference, scheduled at 06:30 AM GMT, will be crucial to watch for clear directions.
A clear upside break of the 168.00 double-top hurdle keeps GBP/JPY buyers hopeful of posting further upside towards the late 2022 peak near 169.30.
Technical Levels: Supports and Resistances
GBPJPY currently trading at 168.05 at the time of writing. Pair opened at 167.41 and is trading with a change of 0.38% % .
| Overview | Overview.1 | |
|---|---|---|
| 0 | Today last price | 168.05 |
| 1 | Today Daily Change | 0.64 |
| 2 | Today Daily Change % | 0.38% |
| 3 | Today daily open | 167.41 |
The pair remains strongly bullish on the daily timeframe. It trades above its 20 SMA @ 165.83, 50 SMA 163.74, 100 SMA @ 162.23 and 200 SMA @ 163.32.
| Trends | Trends.1 | |
|---|---|---|
| 0 | Daily SMA20 | 165.83 |
| 1 | Daily SMA50 | 163.74 |
| 2 | Daily SMA100 | 162.23 |
| 3 | Daily SMA200 | 163.32 |
The previous day high was 167.5 while the previous day low was 166.32. The daily 38.2% Fib levels comes at 167.05, expected to provide support. Similarly, the daily 61.8% fib level is at 166.77, expected to provide support.
Note the levels of interest below:
- Pivot support is noted at 166.65, 165.89, 165.47
- Pivot resistance is noted at 167.83, 168.25, 169.01
| Levels | Levels.1 |
|---|---|
| Previous Daily High | 167.50 |
| Previous Daily Low | 166.32 |
| Previous Weekly High | 167.98 |
| Previous Weekly Low | 165.52 |
| Previous Monthly High | 165.47 |
| Previous Monthly Low | 158.27 |
| Daily Fibonacci 38.2% | 167.05 |
| Daily Fibonacci 61.8% | 166.77 |
| Daily Pivot Point S1 | 166.65 |
| Daily Pivot Point S2 | 165.89 |
| Daily Pivot Point S3 | 165.47 |
| Daily Pivot Point R1 | 167.83 |
| Daily Pivot Point R2 | 168.25 |
| Daily Pivot Point R3 | 169.01 |
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