#AUDNZD @ 1.06289 has dived to near 1.0618 as the RBNZ has hiked rates by 50 bps to 5.25%. (Pivot Orderbook analysis)
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- AUD/NZD has dived to near 1.0618 as the RBNZ has hiked rates by 50 bps to 5.25%.
- RBNZ Governor Adrian Orr went for a bumper rate hike as NZ’s inflation has remained extremely sticky.
- RBA Lowe would deliver guidance on interest rates and the economic outlook.
The pair currently trades last at 1.06289.
The previous day high was 1.078 while the previous day low was 1.0688. The daily 38.2% Fib levels comes at 1.0723, expected to provide resistance. Similarly, the daily 61.8% fib level is at 1.0745, expected to provide resistance.
The AUD/NZD pair has dived significantly below 1.0620 as the Reserve Bank of New Zealand (RBNZ) has surprisingly pushed the Official Cash Rate (OCR) by 50 basis points (bps) to 5.25%. Contrary to that, the street was anticipating a rate hike of 25 bps.
RBNZ Governor Adrian Orr went for a bumper rate hike as New Zealand’s inflation has turned extremely sticky. The quarterly inflation rate has remained steady at 7.2% in the last three quarters.
Reuters reported that the New Zealand economy is expected to have shrunk by 0.3% this quarter, following a 0.6% contraction in the final three months of 2022. Despite the anticipation of a contraction in economic activities, the RBNZ went for a mega rate hike.
Meanwhile, the Australian Dollar has remained in action after the Reserve Bank of Australia (RBA) kept its interest rate policy unchanged as expected by the market participants. RBA Governor Philip Lowe kept rates steady at 3.6% because Australian inflation has started responding significantly to higher interest rates.
Australian monthly Consumer Price Index (CPI) has softened to 6.8% from its peak of 8.4% recorded in December. A further deceleration in Australian inflation is expected as RBA policymakers are anticipating a slowdown in the economic activities ahead. This might cool off the tight labor market and a higher Unemployment Rate would aim to contain persistent inflation.
Going forward, the speech from RBA Governor Philip Lowe will be keenly watched. RBA Governor would deliver guidance on interest rates and the economic outlook.
Technical Levels: Supports and Resistances
AUDNZD currently trading at 1.0714 at the time of writing. Pair opened at 1.0697 and is trading with a change of 0.16 % .
| Overview | Overview.1 | |
|---|---|---|
| 0 | Today last price | 1.0714 |
| 1 | Today Daily Change | 0.0017 |
| 2 | Today Daily Change % | 0.1600 |
| 3 | Today daily open | 1.0697 |
The pair remains strongly bearish on the daily time frame. It trades below the 20 SMA @ 1.0731, 50 SMA 1.0857, 100 SMA @ 1.0798 and 200 SMA @ 1.0965.
| Trends | Trends.1 | |
|---|---|---|
| 0 | Daily SMA20 | 1.0731 |
| 1 | Daily SMA50 | 1.0857 |
| 2 | Daily SMA100 | 1.0798 |
| 3 | Daily SMA200 | 1.0965 |
The previous day high was 1.078 while the previous day low was 1.0688. The daily 38.2% Fib levels comes at 1.0723, expected to provide resistance. Similarly, the daily 61.8% fib level is at 1.0745, expected to provide resistance.
Note the levels of interest below:
- Pivot support is noted at 1.0664, 1.063, 1.0572
- Pivot resistance is noted at 1.0755, 1.0813, 1.0847
| Levels | Levels.1 |
|---|---|
| Previous Daily High | 1.0780 |
| Previous Daily Low | 1.0688 |
| Previous Weekly High | 1.0763 |
| Previous Weekly Low | 1.0672 |
| Previous Monthly High | 1.0892 |
| Previous Monthly Low | 1.0672 |
| Daily Fibonacci 38.2% | 1.0723 |
| Daily Fibonacci 61.8% | 1.0745 |
| Daily Pivot Point S1 | 1.0664 |
| Daily Pivot Point S2 | 1.0630 |
| Daily Pivot Point S3 | 1.0572 |
| Daily Pivot Point R1 | 1.0755 |
| Daily Pivot Point R2 | 1.0813 |
| Daily Pivot Point R3 | 1.0847 |
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