#GBPUSD @ 1.22628 regains positive traction on Monday and recovers a part of Friday’s modest losses. (Pivot Orderbook analysis)

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• GBP/USD regains positive traction on Monday and recovers a part of Friday’s modest losses.
• Rising US bond yields act as a tailwind for the USD and keep a lid on any meaningful upside.
• Traders now look to BoE Governor Bailey’s scheduled speech for short-term opportunities.

The pair currently trades last at 1.22628.

The previous day high was 1.2292 while the previous day low was 1.2191. The daily 38.2% Fib levels comes at 1.223, expected to provide support. Similarly, the daily 61.8% fib level is at 1.2253, expected to provide support.

The GBP/USD pair builds on Friday’s late intraday rebound from sub-1.2200 levels and gains some positive traction on the first day of a new week. The pair maintains its bid tone through the early part of the European session and is currently trading around mid-1.2200s, up nearly 0.15% for the day.

A further recovery in the US Treasury bond yields is seen lending some support to the US Dollar (USD) and turning out to be a key factor acting as a headwind for the GBP/USD pair. That said, the Federal Reserve’s signal that it might soon pause the rate-hiking cycle in the wake of the recent turmoil in the banking sector should cap any meaningful upside for the US bond yields. Apart from this, a generally positive risk tone – as depicted by a fresh leg up in the US equity futures – keeps a lid on any the safe-haven Greenback and remains supportive of the bid tone surrounding the major.

News that First Citizens Bank & Trust Company will buy all of Silicon Valley Bank’s deposits and loans from the Federal Deposit Insurance Corporation (FDIC) calmed market nerves about the contagion risk and boost investors’ confidence. Traders, however, remain worried worries about a full-blown banking crisis. In fact, International Monetary Fund (IMF) Chief Kristalina Georgieva warned over the weekend that risks to financial stability have increased. This, along with Russia’s decision to shift nuclear weapons near Belarus, continues to keep a lid on any optimism in the markets.

In the absence of any relevant economic data, either from the UK or the US, the aforementioned mixed fundamental backdrop warrants some caution for aggressive traders and before placing fresh directional bets around the GBP/USD pair. That said, the Bank of England (BoE) Governor Andrew Bailey’s scheduled speech later during the US session might influence the British Pound and provide some meaningful impetus to the major. Meanwhile, the focus will remain glued to the release of the US Core PCE Price Index – the Fed’s preferred inflation gauge – due on Friday.

Technical Levels: Supports and Resistances

GBPUSD currently trading at 1.2253 at the time of writing. Pair opened at 1.2233 and is trading with a change of 0.16 % .

The pair remains strongly bullish on the daily timeframe. It trades above its 20 SMA @ 1.2085, 50 SMA 1.2148, 100 SMA @ 1.2093 and 200 SMA @ 1.1893.

The previous day high was 1.2292 while the previous day low was 1.2191. The daily 38.2% Fib levels comes at 1.223, expected to provide support. Similarly, the daily 61.8% fib level is at 1.2253, expected to provide support.

Note the levels of interest below:

• Pivot support is noted at 1.2185, 1.2137, 1.2083
• Pivot resistance is noted at 1.2287, 1.234, 1.2388

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