#GBPUSD @ 1.22575 catches fresh bids on Wednesday and reverses a major part of the overnight losses. (Pivot Orderbook analysis)

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#GBPUSD @ 1.22575 catches fresh bids on Wednesday and reverses a major part of the overnight losses. (Pivot Orderbook analysis)

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  • GBP/USD catches fresh bids on Wednesday and reverses a major part of the overnight losses.
  • The stronger UK CPI report lifts bets for at least a 25 bps BoE rate hike and boosts the Sterling.
  • Expectations that the Fed will soften its hawkish stance undermine the USD and lend support.

The pair currently trades last at 1.22575.

The previous day high was 1.2283 while the previous day low was 1.2179. The daily 38.2% Fib levels comes at 1.2218, expected to provide support. Similarly, the daily 61.8% fib level is at 1.2243, expected to provide support.

The GBP/USD pair regains positive traction following the previous day’s pullback from its highest level since February 02 and builds on its intraday gains through the early European session on Wednesday. The buying interest picks up pace following the release of the UK consumer inflation figures and pushes spot prices to a fresh daily high, beyond mid-1.2200s in the last hour.

The UK Office for National Statistics (ONS) reported that the headline CPI rose more than anticipated, by 1.1% in February as compared to the 0.6% decline recorded in the previous month. Adding to this, the yearly rate unexpectedly climbed to 10.4% during the reported month from 10.1% in January, again beating consensus estimates. The data increases pressure on the Bank of England (BoE) to hike by 25 bps at the very least on Thursday and provides a modest lift to the British Pound.

The US Dollar (USD), on the other hand, languishes near a multi-week low amid the prospects for a less aggressive tightening by the Federal Reserve (Fed). In fact, the markets seem convinced that the US central bank will soften its hawkish stance and deliver a smaller 25 bps at the end of the two-day FOMC policy meeting later this Wednesday. Apart from this, a modest pullback in the US Treasury bond yields, along with easing fears of a full-blown banking crisis, undermine the safe-haven buck.

The upside for the GBP/USD pair, however, seems limited as traders might prefer to move to the sidelines heading into the key central bank event risks – the highly-anticipated Fed decision on Wednesday, followed by the BoE meeting on Thursday. Hence, any subsequent move-up runs the risk of fizzling out rather quickly. That said, a sustained move beyond the weekly swing high, around the 1.2285 region, will be seen as a fresh trigger for bulls and pave the way for a further appreciating move.

Technical Levels: Supports and Resistances

GBPUSD currently trading at 1.223 at the time of writing. Pair opened at 1.2217 and is trading with a change of 0.11 % .

Overview Overview.1
0 Today last price 1.2230
1 Today Daily Change 0.0013
2 Today Daily Change % 0.1100
3 Today daily open 1.2217

The pair remains strongly bullish on the daily timeframe. It trades above its 20 SMA @ 1.2046, 50 SMA 1.2144, 100 SMA @ 1.2064 and 200 SMA @ 1.1893.

Trends Trends.1
0 Daily SMA20 1.2046
1 Daily SMA50 1.2144
2 Daily SMA100 1.2064
3 Daily SMA200 1.1893

The previous day high was 1.2283 while the previous day low was 1.2179. The daily 38.2% Fib levels comes at 1.2218, expected to provide support. Similarly, the daily 61.8% fib level is at 1.2243, expected to provide support.

Note the levels of interest below:

  • Pivot support is noted at 1.217, 1.2122, 1.2066
  • Pivot resistance is noted at 1.2274, 1.233, 1.2378
Levels Levels.1
Previous Daily High 1.2283
Previous Daily Low 1.2179
Previous Weekly High 1.2204
Previous Weekly Low 1.2010
Previous Monthly High 1.2402
Previous Monthly Low 1.1915
Daily Fibonacci 38.2% 1.2218
Daily Fibonacci 61.8% 1.2243
Daily Pivot Point S1 1.2170
Daily Pivot Point S2 1.2122
Daily Pivot Point S3 1.2066
Daily Pivot Point R1 1.2274
Daily Pivot Point R2 1.2330
Daily Pivot Point R3 1.2378

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