#AUDJPY @ 91.4020 is expected to re-test 92.00 but is inside the woods following cues from AUD/USD. (Pivot Orderbook analysis)
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- AUD/JPY is expected to re-test 92.00 but is inside the woods following cues from AUD/USD.
- Investors are awaiting China’s inflation data for fresh impetus.
- It seems that few days of sunlight left for the ultra-loose monetary policy approach in Japan.
The pair currently trades last at 91.4020.
The previous day high was 91.3 while the previous day low was 90.78. The daily 38.2% Fib levels comes at 91.11, expected to provide support. Similarly, the daily 61.8% fib level is at 90.98, expected to provide support.
The AUD/JPY pair is struggling to come out of the woods as investors are awaiting the release of China’s Consumer Price Index (CPI) data for fresh impetus. The risk barometer has shifted sideways around 91.50, following footprints of AUD/USD ahead of the release of the United States inflation data.
According to the estimates, annual CPI (Dec) is set to improve to 1.8% from the former release of 1.6%. While the monthly figure may contract by 0.1% against the prior release of -0.2%. Also, the Producer Price Index (PPI) could contract by 0.1%. The Chinese economy is operating at lower inflation levels after remaining locked for a lengthy period due to the Covid-19 epidemic. This might force the People’s Bank of China (PBOC) to announce some policy-easing measures to spurt the level of economic activities.
On Wednesday, the cross turned sideways after a bullish action supported by the release of the higher-than-projected Australian inflation and upbeat Retail Sales data. The monthly price index (Nov) in the Australian economy landed at 7.4% vs. the consensus of 7.3% and the former release of 6.9%. Apart from that, monthly Retail Sales (Nov) jumped to 1.4% against the projections of 0.6%.
Stronger-than-anticipated inflation and retail demand by households are going to compel the Reserve Bank of Australia (RBA) to continue hiking interest rates further to tame soaring inflation. Currently, the Official Cash Rate (OCR) of the RBA is at 3.10%.
On the Tokyo front, Michio Saito, Director-General of the Financial Bureau at Japan’s Ministry of Finance (MoF), said in a statement early Wednesday, “interest rates remain low but the current situation won’t last indefinitely.” Japanese administration and the Bank of Japan (BoJ) are looking to review their decade-long ultra-loose monetary policy to conclude deflation and an easy policy approach.
Technical Levels: Supports and Resistances
AUDJPY currently trading at 91.53 at the time of writing. Pair opened at 91.16 and is trading with a change of 0.41 % .
| Overview | Overview.1 | |
|---|---|---|
| 0 | Today last price | 91.53 |
| 1 | Today Daily Change | 0.37 |
| 2 | Today Daily Change % | 0.41 |
| 3 | Today daily open | 91.16 |
The pair is trading above its 20 Daily moving average @ 90.14, below its 50 Daily moving average @ 92.04 , below its 100 Daily moving average @ 93.36 and below its 200 Daily moving average @ 93.23
| Trends | Trends.1 | |
|---|---|---|
| 0 | Daily SMA20 | 90.14 |
| 1 | Daily SMA50 | 92.04 |
| 2 | Daily SMA100 | 93.36 |
| 3 | Daily SMA200 | 93.23 |
The previous day high was 91.3 while the previous day low was 90.78. The daily 38.2% Fib levels comes at 91.11, expected to provide support. Similarly, the daily 61.8% fib level is at 90.98, expected to provide support.
Note the levels of interest below:
- Pivot support is noted at 90.86, 90.56, 90.34
- Pivot resistance is noted at 91.38, 91.6, 91.9
| Levels | Levels.1 |
|---|---|
| Previous Daily High | 91.30 |
| Previous Daily Low | 90.78 |
| Previous Weekly High | 90.99 |
| Previous Weekly Low | 87.41 |
| Previous Monthly High | 93.81 |
| Previous Monthly Low | 87.02 |
| Daily Fibonacci 38.2% | 91.11 |
| Daily Fibonacci 61.8% | 90.98 |
| Daily Pivot Point S1 | 90.86 |
| Daily Pivot Point S2 | 90.56 |
| Daily Pivot Point S3 | 90.34 |
| Daily Pivot Point R1 | 91.38 |
| Daily Pivot Point R2 | 91.60 |
| Daily Pivot Point R3 | 91.90 |
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