A formation of the Three While Soldiers candlestick pattern after a fresh 11-month low has triggered a bullish reversal. (Pivot Orderbook analysis)

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A formation of the Three While Soldiers candlestick pattern after a fresh 11-month low has triggered a bullish reversal. (Pivot Orderbook analysis)

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  • A formation of the Three While Soldiers candlestick pattern after a fresh 11-month low has triggered a bullish reversal.
  • The oil prices are currently facing barricades around the 20-EMA at $77.50.
  • A range shift by the RSI (14) from the bearish range to 40.00-60.00 indicates that the bearish bias has faded.

The pair currently trades last at 76.74.

The previous day high was 77.76 while the previous day low was 74.96. The daily 38.2% Fib levels comes at 76.69, expected to provide support. Similarly, the daily 61.8% fib level is at 76.03, expected to provide support.

West Texas Intermediate (WTI), futures on NYMEX, have turned sideways around $76.70 after failing to sustain above the critical resistance of $77.50 on Wednesday. For now, the three-day winning spell in the oil price is expected to terminate as market sentiment has turned bearish.

Meanwhile, the US Dollar Index (DXY) has climbed to near 103.90 as hawkish Federal Reserve (Fed) policy guidance has strengthened the risk aversion mood.

On a daily scale, the oil prices have displayed a sheer recovery after forming a Three White Soldiers candlestick pattern. The above-mentioned candlestick pattern is a realistic example of responsive buying action by the market participants and cements the odds of a bullish reversal. The black gold has reversed dramatically after printing a fresh 11-month low at $70.27 last week.

Currently, the 20-period Exponential Moving Average (EMA) at around $77.50 is acting as a major barricade for the oil bulls.

Meanwhile, the Relative Strength Index (RSI) (14) has shifted into the 40.00-60.00 range from the bearish range of 20.00-40.00, which indicates that the downside bias has faded.

Going forward, a break above Wednesday’s high at $77.76 will drive the oil prices toward the psychological resistance at $80.00, followed by December 5 high at $82.74.

Alternatively, a decisive drop below the 11-month low at $70.27 will drag the asset toward 21 December 2021 low at $68.49 and 20 December 2021 low at $66.09.

Technical Levels: Supports and Resistances

XTIUSD currently trading at 76.74 at the time of writing. Pair opened at 77.39 and is trading with a change of -0.84 % .

Overview Overview.1
0 Today last price 76.74
1 Today Daily Change -0.65
2 Today Daily Change % -0.84
3 Today daily open 77.39

The pair remains strongly bearish on the daily time frame. It trades below the 20 SMA @ 77.32, 50 SMA 83.08, 100 SMA @ 85.38 and 200 SMA @ 95.34.

Trends Trends.1
0 Daily SMA20 77.32
1 Daily SMA50 83.08
2 Daily SMA100 85.38
3 Daily SMA200 95.34

The previous day high was 77.76 while the previous day low was 74.96. The daily 38.2% Fib levels comes at 76.69, expected to provide support. Similarly, the daily 61.8% fib level is at 76.03, expected to provide support.

Note the levels of interest below:

  • Pivot support is noted at 75.65, 73.9, 72.84
  • Pivot resistance is noted at 78.45, 79.51, 81.25
Levels Levels.1
Previous Daily High 77.76
Previous Daily Low 74.96
Previous Weekly High 82.74
Previous Weekly Low 70.27
Previous Monthly High 92.92
Previous Monthly Low 73.66
Daily Fibonacci 38.2% 76.69
Daily Fibonacci 61.8% 76.03
Daily Pivot Point S1 75.65
Daily Pivot Point S2 73.90
Daily Pivot Point S3 72.84
Daily Pivot Point R1 78.45
Daily Pivot Point R2 79.51
Daily Pivot Point R3 81.25

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