#AUDUSD @ 0.67605 recovers from intraday low but stays indecisive on a daily basis., @nehcap view: Further downside expected (Pivot Orderbook analysis)
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- AUD/USD recovers from intraday low but stays indecisive on a daily basis.
- Bearish RSI divergence, rising wedge keeps sellers hopeful even as 100-DMA adds to the downside filters.
- Recovery remains elusive below 0.6880, weekly high guards immediate upside.
The pair currently trades last at 0.67605.
The previous day high was 0.6803 while the previous day low was 0.6729. The daily 38.2% Fib levels comes at 0.6757, expected to provide support. Similarly, the daily 61.8% fib level is at 0.6774, expected to provide resistance.
AUD/USD picks up bids to pare the previous day’s losses around 0.6755-60 heading into Tuesday’s European session. In doing so, the Aussie pair bounces off intraday low but stays inside a one-month-old rising wedge bearish chart pattern.
In addition to the rising wedge, the bearish RSI divergence also teases the AUD/USD bears despite the pair’s latest recovery. On the same line could be the consecutive bearish MACD signals published in the last week.
When a higher high on prices fails to gain support from the higher tops of the RSI, it is called the bearish RSI divergence and suggests the quote’s downside.
That said, the 0.6800 round figure and the weekly high near 0.6815 challenge the near-term AUD/USD upside ahead of the stated wedge’s upper line, close to 0.6680 by the press time.
In a case where the Aussie bulls manage to keep the reins past 0.6880, September’s high near 0.6915 will be in focus.
Alternatively, pullback moves could aim for the aforementioned wedge’s lower line, near 0.6695 at the latest, a break of which will confirm the bearish chart pattern that theoretically suggests a south-run towards the mid-0.6400s.
During the fall, tops marked in October near 0.6550 and 0.6520, as well as the 100-DMA level surrounding 0.6675, could act as intermediate halts.
Trend: Further downside expected
Technical Levels: Supports and Resistances
AUDUSD currently trading at 0.6758 at the time of writing. Pair opened at 0.6751 and is trading with a change of 0.10% % .
| Overview | Overview.1 | |
|---|---|---|
| 0 | Today last price | 0.6758 |
| 1 | Today Daily Change | 0.0007 |
| 2 | Today Daily Change % | 0.10% |
| 3 | Today daily open | 0.6751 |
The pair is trading above its 20 Daily moving average @ 0.6727, above its 50 Daily moving average @ 0.6531 , above its 100 Daily moving average @ 0.6678 and below its 200 Daily moving average @ 0.6907
| Trends | Trends.1 | |
|---|---|---|
| 0 | Daily SMA20 | 0.6727 |
| 1 | Daily SMA50 | 0.6531 |
| 2 | Daily SMA100 | 0.6678 |
| 3 | Daily SMA200 | 0.6907 |
The previous day high was 0.6803 while the previous day low was 0.6729. The daily 38.2% Fib levels comes at 0.6757, expected to provide support. Similarly, the daily 61.8% fib level is at 0.6774, expected to provide resistance.
Note the levels of interest below:
- Pivot support is noted at 0.6719, 0.6687, 0.6645
- Pivot resistance is noted at 0.6793, 0.6835, 0.6867
| Levels | Levels.1 |
|---|---|
| Previous Daily High | 0.6803 |
| Previous Daily Low | 0.6729 |
| Previous Weekly High | 0.6851 |
| Previous Weekly Low | 0.6669 |
| Previous Monthly High | 0.6801 |
| Previous Monthly Low | 0.6272 |
| Daily Fibonacci 38.2% | 0.6757 |
| Daily Fibonacci 61.8% | 0.6774 |
| Daily Pivot Point S1 | 0.6719 |
| Daily Pivot Point S2 | 0.6687 |
| Daily Pivot Point S3 | 0.6645 |
| Daily Pivot Point R1 | 0.6793 |
| Daily Pivot Point R2 | 0.6835 |
| Daily Pivot Point R3 | 0.6867 |
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