#AUDUSD @ 0.67657 is finding immediate support after dropping from above 0.6800 amid a cautious market mood. (Pivot Orderbook analysis)
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- AUD/USD is finding immediate support after dropping from above 0.6800 amid a cautious market mood.
- Fed policymakers are advocating a deceleration in policy tightening pace to reduce financial risks.
- Australian Employment Change is seen higher at 46.5K while the jobless rate is seen lower at 3.3%.
The pair currently trades last at 0.67657.
The previous day high was 0.6814 while the previous day low was 0.6744. The daily 38.2% Fib levels comes at 0.6787, expected to provide resistance. Similarly, the daily 61.8% fib level is at 0.677, expected to provide resistance.
The AUD/USD pair is looking for a cushion after dropping from above the round-level resistance of 0.6800 in the Asian session. The Aussie asset is building a cushion around 0.6760, however, the bewildering inventory adjustment activity could turn into a further downfall ahead as the risk-off impulse is still solid and has not displayed any sign of exhaustion yet.
Meanwhile, the US Dollar Index (DXY) is aiming to extend its gains above the immediate hurdle of 105.20 as investors are hiding behind safe haven to dodge anxiety ahead of the monetary policy decision by the Federal Reserve (Fed), which is due on Wednesday.
S&P500 futures have turned cautious as the Fed is set to tighten policy further. While the 10-year US Treasury yields have surrendered their gains and have dropped to 3.56% as the odds are favoring a less hawkish commentary from Fed chair Jerome Powell.
Less-than-projected October’s inflation report, decline in Producer Price Index (PPI) data, and a serious decline in consumer spending in the United States economy favor a slowdown in the current pace of the interest rate hike by the Fed. Also, Fed policymakers are advocating a deceleration in policy tightening pace to reduce financial risks.
On the Aussie front, investors are shifting their focus toward the speech from Reserve Bank of Australia (RBA) Governor Philip Lowe, which is scheduled for Wednesday. The speech from RBA Governor will provide cues about the likely monetary policy action in the first monetary policy meeting of CY2023.
Apart from that, Australian employment data will be released on Thursday. The Employment Change is seen higher at 46.5K vs. the prior release of 32.2K. Also, the Unemployment Rate is seen lower at 3.3%. Upbeat payroll data is going to delight the RBA in hiking its interest rates further.
Technical Levels: Supports and Resistances
AUDUSD currently trading at 0.6764 at the time of writing. Pair opened at 0.6795 and is trading with a change of -0.46 % .
| Overview | Overview.1 | |
|---|---|---|
| 0 | Today last price | 0.6764 |
| 1 | Today Daily Change | -0.0031 |
| 2 | Today Daily Change % | -0.4600 |
| 3 | Today daily open | 0.6795 |
The pair is trading above its 20 Daily moving average @ 0.6724, above its 50 Daily moving average @ 0.6527 , above its 100 Daily moving average @ 0.668 and below its 200 Daily moving average @ 0.691
| Trends | Trends.1 | |
|---|---|---|
| 0 | Daily SMA20 | 0.6724 |
| 1 | Daily SMA50 | 0.6527 |
| 2 | Daily SMA100 | 0.6680 |
| 3 | Daily SMA200 | 0.6910 |
The previous day high was 0.6814 while the previous day low was 0.6744. The daily 38.2% Fib levels comes at 0.6787, expected to provide resistance. Similarly, the daily 61.8% fib level is at 0.677, expected to provide resistance.
Note the levels of interest below:
- Pivot support is noted at 0.6754, 0.6714, 0.6684
- Pivot resistance is noted at 0.6824, 0.6854, 0.6894
| Levels | Levels.1 |
|---|---|
| Previous Daily High | 0.6814 |
| Previous Daily Low | 0.6744 |
| Previous Weekly High | 0.6851 |
| Previous Weekly Low | 0.6669 |
| Previous Monthly High | 0.6801 |
| Previous Monthly Low | 0.6272 |
| Daily Fibonacci 38.2% | 0.6787 |
| Daily Fibonacci 61.8% | 0.6770 |
| Daily Pivot Point S1 | 0.6754 |
| Daily Pivot Point S2 | 0.6714 |
| Daily Pivot Point S3 | 0.6684 |
| Daily Pivot Point R1 | 0.6824 |
| Daily Pivot Point R2 | 0.6854 |
| Daily Pivot Point R3 | 0.6894 |
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