#USDCHF @ 0.93430 has continued to remain sideways around 0.9340 ahead of Fed/SNB monetary policy. (Pivot Orderbook analysis)
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- USD/CHF has continued to remain sideways around 0.9340 ahead of Fed/SNB monetary policy.
- Investors expect a surprise move in November’s US Inflation report.
- The SNB is expected to continue its hawkish policy as the current monetary policy is unable to tackle inflation.
The pair currently trades last at 0.93430.
The previous day high was 0.9382 while the previous day low was 0.9312. The daily 38.2% Fib levels comes at 0.9339, expected to provide support. Similarly, the daily 61.8% fib level is at 0.9355, expected to provide resistance.
The USD/CHF pair has continued its sideways performance, settled on Friday, in the early Tokyo session as investors are awaiting the announcement of the United States Consumer Price Index (CPI) data for fresh impetus.
The Swiss franc asset is displaying topsy-turvy moves in a 0.9320-0.9380 range amid mixed responses from the risk profile. Pre-Federal Reserve (Fed) policy anxiety is turning the market mood cautious while the expectation of a deceleration in the pace of the interest rate hike by the Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) is providing a cushion to the risk appetite theme.
S&P500 ended the week on a bearish note, reported risk aversion theme by the market participants. Meanwhile, the US Dollar Index (DXY) is struggling around 105.00 as investors expect a surprise deviation in November’s inflation report. The release of the headline US Producer Price Index (PPI) matched expectations after declining to 7.4% and has raised hopes for a decline in inflation, however, the upbeat November employment report is calling for a surprise rebound in the price pressures.
This week, the show-stopper event will be the interest rate decision by the Fed, which is scheduled for Wednesday. Rabobank analysts said they expect the US central bank to hike the policy rate by 50 basis points and see policymakers revising the terminal rate projection to the neighborhood of 5%.
On the Swiss franc front, the monetary policy meeting of the Swiss National Bank (SNB) will be of utmost importance. A commentary from SNB Chairman Thomas J. Jordan stating that their current monetary policy is too loose to tackle inflation, reported by Reuters, cements expectations for a hawkish monetary policy.
Technical Levels: Supports and Resistances
USDCHF currently trading at 0.9346 at the time of writing. Pair opened at 0.935 and is trading with a change of -0.04 % .
| Overview | Overview.1 | |
|---|---|---|
| 0 | Today last price | 0.9346 |
| 1 | Today Daily Change | -0.0004 |
| 2 | Today Daily Change % | -0.0400 |
| 3 | Today daily open | 0.9350 |
The pair remains strongly bearish on the daily time frame. It trades below the 20 SMA @ 0.945, 50 SMA 0.9737, 100 SMA @ 0.9692 and 200 SMA @ 0.9647.
| Trends | Trends.1 | |
|---|---|---|
| 0 | Daily SMA20 | 0.9450 |
| 1 | Daily SMA50 | 0.9737 |
| 2 | Daily SMA100 | 0.9692 |
| 3 | Daily SMA200 | 0.9647 |
The previous day high was 0.9382 while the previous day low was 0.9312. The daily 38.2% Fib levels comes at 0.9339, expected to provide support. Similarly, the daily 61.8% fib level is at 0.9355, expected to provide resistance.
Note the levels of interest below:
- Pivot support is noted at 0.9314, 0.9278, 0.9244
- Pivot resistance is noted at 0.9384, 0.9418, 0.9454
| Levels | Levels.1 |
|---|---|
| Previous Daily High | 0.9382 |
| Previous Daily Low | 0.9312 |
| Previous Weekly High | 0.9456 |
| Previous Weekly Low | 0.9312 |
| Previous Monthly High | 1.0148 |
| Previous Monthly Low | 0.9357 |
| Daily Fibonacci 38.2% | 0.9339 |
| Daily Fibonacci 61.8% | 0.9355 |
| Daily Pivot Point S1 | 0.9314 |
| Daily Pivot Point S2 | 0.9278 |
| Daily Pivot Point S3 | 0.9244 |
| Daily Pivot Point R1 | 0.9384 |
| Daily Pivot Point R2 | 0.9418 |
| Daily Pivot Point R3 | 0.9454 |
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