#NZDUSD @ 0.64070 begins the key week without much noise, grinds higher after eight-week uptrend., @nehcap view: Limited upside expected (Pivot Orderbook analysis)
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- NZD/USD begins the key week without much noise, grinds higher after eight-week uptrend.
- Overbought RSI conditions, six-month-old horizontal resistance challenge further advances.
- Ascending trend line from early November, previous resistance from June limit downside.
The pair currently trades last at 0.64070.
The previous day high was 0.6428 while the previous day low was 0.6354. The daily 38.2% Fib levels comes at 0.64, expected to provide support. Similarly, the daily 61.8% fib level is at 0.6382, expected to provide support.
NZD/USD stays defensive above 0.6400 as traders begin the bumper week, after the bull’s dominance in the last eight consecutive weeks.
It’s worth noting, however, that the overbought conditions of the Relative Strength Index (RSI) line, placed at 14, coupled with the Kiwi pair’s repeated failures to cross the six-month-old horizontal hurdle, keep the buyers and sellers hopeful.
However, a five-week-old ascending support line, near 0.6380 by the press time, holds the key to the NZD/USD bear’s entry.
Even so, the resistance-turned-support trend line from June 03, close to 0.6290 at the latest, could restrict the Kiwi pair’s further downside.
In a case where the NZD/USD bears conquer the 0.6290 support, they can aim for September’s high surrounding 0.6160.
Alternatively, the aforementioned horizontal area comprising multiple levels marked since early June, near 0.6465-75, appears a tough nut to crack for the NZD/USD bulls. Following that, a run-up towards the mid-2022 peak surrounding 0.6575 can’t be ruled out.
Overall, NZD/USD is likely to remain inactive between 0.6465 and 0.6380. However, the pair’s further upside appears less likely.
Trend: Limited upside expected
Technical Levels: Supports and Resistances
NZDUSD currently trading at 0.641 at the time of writing. Pair opened at 0.6416 and is trading with a change of -0.09 % .
| Overview | Overview.1 | |
|---|---|---|
| 0 | Today last price | 0.6410 |
| 1 | Today Daily Change | -0.0006 |
| 2 | Today Daily Change % | -0.0900 |
| 3 | Today daily open | 0.6416 |
The pair remains strongly bullish on the daily timeframe. It trades above its 20 SMA @ 0.6247, 50 SMA 0.5954, 100 SMA @ 0.6034 and 200 SMA @ 0.628.
| Trends | Trends.1 | |
|---|---|---|
| 0 | Daily SMA20 | 0.6247 |
| 1 | Daily SMA50 | 0.5954 |
| 2 | Daily SMA100 | 0.6034 |
| 3 | Daily SMA200 | 0.6280 |
The previous day high was 0.6428 while the previous day low was 0.6354. The daily 38.2% Fib levels comes at 0.64, expected to provide support. Similarly, the daily 61.8% fib level is at 0.6382, expected to provide support.
Note the levels of interest below:
- Pivot support is noted at 0.6371, 0.6325, 0.6296
- Pivot resistance is noted at 0.6445, 0.6474, 0.6519
| Levels | Levels.1 |
|---|---|
| Previous Daily High | 0.6428 |
| Previous Daily Low | 0.6354 |
| Previous Weekly High | 0.6444 |
| Previous Weekly Low | 0.6302 |
| Previous Monthly High | 0.6314 |
| Previous Monthly Low | 0.5741 |
| Daily Fibonacci 38.2% | 0.6400 |
| Daily Fibonacci 61.8% | 0.6382 |
| Daily Pivot Point S1 | 0.6371 |
| Daily Pivot Point S2 | 0.6325 |
| Daily Pivot Point S3 | 0.6296 |
| Daily Pivot Point R1 | 0.6445 |
| Daily Pivot Point R2 | 0.6474 |
| Daily Pivot Point R3 | 0.6519 |
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