#USDCNH @ 6.92512 bears take a breather at one-week low, pauses two-day downtrend., @nehcap view: Further weakness expected (Pivot Orderbook analysis)

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• USD/CNH bears take a breather at one-week low, pauses two-day downtrend.
• Downside break of monthly bullish channel, 10-DMA joins bearish MACD signals to favor sellers.
• Four-month-old horizontal support area appears a tough nut to crack for bears.

The pair currently trades last at 6.92512.

The previous day high was 6.9488 while the previous day low was 6.9108. The daily 38.2% Fib levels comes at 6.9253, expected to provide resistance. Similarly, the daily 61.8% fib level is at 6.9343, expected to provide resistance.

USD/CNH seesaws around the weekly bottom as bears await the key US inflation data during Tuesday’s Asian session, especially after China’s return from a long weekend. With this, the offshore Chinese yuan (CNH) pair snaps a two-day downtrend while defending the 6.9200 level of late.

Even so, the pair sellers keep control as Friday’s rejection of a one-month-old bullish channel and the previous day’s downside break of the 10-DMA, the first in a month, keep sellers hopeful. Also favoring the downside bias is the impending bear cross of the MACD.

With this, the USD/CNH is likely to remain directed towards the 21-DMA support level, around 6.8930 by the press time.

Following that, a broad support area comprising May’s top and the levels marked during late August, around 6.8380-8480, will be crucial to watch for the USD/CNH bears.

In a case where the pair successfully breaks the 6.8380 support, the previous monthly low of around 6.7165 will be in focus.

Alternatively, recovery moves need validation from the 10-DMA level, at 6.9355 by the press time.

Even so, the aforementioned channel’s lower line, near 6.9680 at the latest, could act as the last defense for the USD/CNH bears before challenging the two-year high marked the last week.

Trend: Further weakness expected

Technical Levels: Supports and Resistances

USDCNH currently trading at 6.921 at the time of writing. Pair opened at 6.9184 and is trading with a change of 0.04% % .

The pair remains strongly bullish on the daily timeframe. It trades above its 20 SMA @ 6.8916, 50 SMA 6.8057, 100 SMA @ 6.7537 and 200 SMA @ 6.5604.

The previous day high was 6.9488 while the previous day low was 6.9108. The daily 38.2% Fib levels comes at 6.9253, expected to provide resistance. Similarly, the daily 61.8% fib level is at 6.9343, expected to provide resistance.

Note the levels of interest below:

• Pivot support is noted at 6.9032, 6.8879, 6.8651
• Pivot resistance is noted at 6.9413, 6.9641, 6.9794

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