#GBPUSD @ 1.18280 -imp levels: is marching towards 1.1850 as DXY skids on trimmed Fed hawkish bets.
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- GBP/USD is marching towards 1.1850 as DXY skids on trimmed Fed hawkish bets.
- As per a Reuters poll, a rate hike of 50 bps by the Fed looks likely.
- Higher UK labor cost data is expected to delight the BOE ahead.
The pair currently trades last at 1.18280.
The previous day high was 1.1937 while the previous day low was 1.1792. The daily 38.2% Fib levels comes at 1.1847, expected to provide resistance. Similarly, the daily 61.8% fib level is at 1.1882, expected to provide resistance.
The GBP/USD pair has rebounded sharply after the pound bulls defended the critical support of 1.1800 in the Tokyo session. The cable is heading towards the critical hurdle of 1.1850 and is likely to cross the same as the US dollar index (DXY) is facing the heat of exhaustion after a juggernaut rally. The asset is on the verge of giving an upside break of the consolidation formed in a chartered territory of 1.1805-1.1834.
For a while, the pound bulls have violated the continuation of the three-day losing streak by not surrendering Friday’s low of 1.1791. The DXY has displayed a minor downside move after failing to sustain above 108.20. The asset has picked offers after the expectations of a consecutive 75 basis points (bps) rate hike by the Federal Reserve (Fed) trimmed.
“Most economists in an Aug. 16-19 Reuters poll predicted a half percentage point hike next month, the same as in the last poll, which would take the key interest rate to 2.75%-3.00%.”
Although, the commentary from Fed chair Jerome Powell will clear the clouds of uncertainty over further guidance. Well, a slowdown in the pace of hiking interest rates by the Fed is on the cards in order to avoid the consequences of squeezing liquidity from the market.
On the pound front, vulnerable employment data impacted the pound bulls. However, a decent improvement in the labor cost data has resulted in a sigh of relief for the Bank of England (BOE).
The inflation rate is accelerating in the UK zone dramatically and in order to pay off the higher payouts, improvement in the wage rate was vulnerable. Therefore, the BOE policymakers were not deploying the tightening quantitative measures with full independence. Now, the meaningful improvement in the labor cost index will delight BOE Governor Andrew Bailey while drafting the monetary policy.
Technical Levels: Supports and Resistances
GBPUSD currently trading at 1.1833 at the time of writing. Pair opened at 1.1828 and is trading with a change of 0.04 % .
| Overview | Overview.1 | |
|---|---|---|
| 0 | Today last price | 1.1833 |
| 1 | Today Daily Change | 0.0005 |
| 2 | Today Daily Change % | 0.0400 |
| 3 | Today daily open | 1.1828 |
The pair remains strongly bearish on the daily time frame. It trades below the 20 SMA @ 1.2102, 50 SMA 1.2088, 100 SMA @ 1.2369 and 200 SMA @ 1.2876.
| Trends | Trends.1 | |
|---|---|---|
| 0 | Daily SMA20 | 1.2102 |
| 1 | Daily SMA50 | 1.2088 |
| 2 | Daily SMA100 | 1.2369 |
| 3 | Daily SMA200 | 1.2876 |
The previous day high was 1.1937 while the previous day low was 1.1792. The daily 38.2% Fib levels comes at 1.1847, expected to provide resistance. Similarly, the daily 61.8% fib level is at 1.1882, expected to provide resistance.
Note the levels of interest below:
- Pivot support is noted at 1.1768, 1.1708, 1.1623
- Pivot resistance is noted at 1.1913, 1.1998, 1.2058
| Levels | Levels.1 |
|---|---|
| Previous Daily High | 1.1937 |
| Previous Daily Low | 1.1792 |
| Previous Weekly High | 1.2148 |
| Previous Weekly Low | 1.1792 |
| Previous Monthly High | 1.2246 |
| Previous Monthly Low | 1.1760 |
| Daily Fibonacci 38.2% | 1.1847 |
| Daily Fibonacci 61.8% | 1.1882 |
| Daily Pivot Point S1 | 1.1768 |
| Daily Pivot Point S2 | 1.1708 |
| Daily Pivot Point S3 | 1.1623 |
| Daily Pivot Point R1 | 1.1913 |
| Daily Pivot Point R2 | 1.1998 |
| Daily Pivot Point R3 | 1.2058 |
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