#GBPUSD @ 1.21488 struggles to capitalize on the overnight positive move amid a modest USD strength.

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#GBPUSD @ 1.21488 struggles to capitalize on the overnight positive move amid a modest USD strength.

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  • GBP/USD struggles to capitalize on the overnight positive move amid a modest USD strength.
  • Expectations that the BoE is done raising interest rates contribute to the intraday downtick.
  • The downside seems cushioned ahead of the FOMC on Wednesday and the BoE on Thursday.
  • The pair currently trades last at 1.21488.

    The previous day high was 1.2175 while the previous day low was 1.209. The daily 38.2% Fib levels comes at 1.2143, expected to provide support. Similarly, the daily 61.8% fib level is at 1.2123, expected to provide support.

    The GBP/USD pair edges lower during the Asian session on Tuesday and reverses a part of the previous day’s goodish move up of over 85 pips from sub-1.2100 levels. Spot prices currently trade around the 1.2155 region, down just over 0.10% for the day and well within a familiar range held over the past week or so.

    Traders seem reluctant to place aggressive directional bets and prefer to wait on the sidelines ahead of this week’s key central bank event risks – the FOMC policy decision on Wednesday, followed by the Bank of England (BoE) meeting on Thursday. In the meantime, expectations that the Federal Reserve (Fed) will stick to its hawkish stance remain supportive of elevated US Treasury bond yields and help revive the US Dollar (USD) demand, which, in turn, is seen exerting some pressure on the GBP/USD pair.

    The US economic resilience, along with still sticky inflation, gives the Fed headroom to keep interest rates higher for longer. In fact, the markets are still pricing in the possibility of one more rate hike by the end of this year. In contrast, the BoE is expected to leave its benchmark interest rate on hold at a 15-year high of 5.25% for the second successive time to support the ailing economy. This, in turn, favours bearish traders and suggests that the path of least resistance for the GBP/USD pair is to the downside.

    Moving ahead, there isn’t any relevant market-moving economic data due for release from the UK, leaving spot prices at the mercy of the USD price dynamics. Later during the early North American session, traders will take cues from the US economic docket, featuring the Chicago PMI and the Conference Board’s Consumer Confindence Index. Apart from this, the US bond yields will drive the USD demand and contribute to producing short-term trading opportunities around the GBP/USD pair.

    Technical Levels: Supports and Resistances

    GBPUSD currently trading at 1.2156 at the time of writing. Pair opened at 1.2168 and is trading with a change of -0.1 % .

    Overview Overview.1
    0 Today last price 1.2156
    1 Today Daily Change -0.0012
    2 Today Daily Change % -0.1000
    3 Today daily open 1.2168

    The pair remains strongly bearish on the daily time frame. It trades below the 20 SMA @ 1.2179, 50 SMA 1.234, 100 SMA @ 1.2567 and 200 SMA @ 1.2438.

    Trends Trends.1
    0 Daily SMA20 1.2179
    1 Daily SMA50 1.2340
    2 Daily SMA100 1.2567
    3 Daily SMA200 1.2438

    The previous day high was 1.2175 while the previous day low was 1.209. The daily 38.2% Fib levels comes at 1.2143, expected to provide support. Similarly, the daily 61.8% fib level is at 1.2123, expected to provide support.

    Note the levels of interest below:

    • Pivot support is noted at 1.2114, 1.206, 1.2029
    • Pivot resistance is noted at 1.2198, 1.2229, 1.2283
    Levels Levels.1
    Previous Daily High 1.2175
    Previous Daily Low 1.2090
    Previous Weekly High 1.2289
    Previous Weekly Low 1.2070
    Previous Monthly High 1.2713
    Previous Monthly Low 1.2111
    Daily Fibonacci 38.2% 1.2143
    Daily Fibonacci 61.8% 1.2123
    Daily Pivot Point S1 1.2114
    Daily Pivot Point S2 1.2060
    Daily Pivot Point S3 1.2029
    Daily Pivot Point R1 1.2198
    Daily Pivot Point R2 1.2229
    Daily Pivot Point R3 1.2283

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