#AUDUSD @ 0.63263 recovers its recent losses on the softer USD.

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#AUDUSD @ 0.63263 recovers its recent losses on the softer USD.

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  • AUD/USD recovers its recent losses on the softer USD.
  • The preliminary US Q3 GDP rose 4.9%, Continuing claims rose to the highest reading since May.
  • The markets anticipate the potential additional rate hike from the RBA at the November meeting.
  • Investors will focus on Australian PPI, and US monthly core Personal Consumption Expenditures Price Index (PCE) data.
  • The pair currently trades last at 0.63263.

    The previous day high was 0.64 while the previous day low was 0.6305. The daily 38.2% Fib levels comes at 0.6341, expected to provide resistance. Similarly, the daily 61.8% fib level is at 0.6364, expected to provide resistance.

    The AUD/USD pair holds above 0.6300 after bouncing off the year-to-date (YTD) lows at 0.6270 during the early Asian session on Friday. A modest recovery of the pair is bolstered by the correction of the US Dollar (USD) and the possibility of more rate hikes from the Reserve Bank of Australia (RBA) at its November meeting. The pair currently trades around 0.6325, gaining 0.06% on the day.

    The preliminary US Gross Domestic Product (GDP) Annualized for the third quarter (Q3) expanded by 4.9% from the previous reading of 2.1% expansion, better than the market expectation of 4.2%. Additionally, the weekly Initial Jobless Claims for the week ending October 21 totaled 210,000 from 200,000 (revised from 198,000) in the previous reading, worse than the market consensus of 208,000. Continuing claims rose to the highest reading since May, by climbing by 63,000.

    In response to the data, The Greenback initially gains traction and then reversed its course due to a decline in US Treasury yields. US Treasury Secretary Janet Yellen said on Thursday that the US economy is operating well, although Americans are worried about the economy. Yellen also noted that the recent rise in yields is unrelated to deficits and does not portend an oncoming recession. On the contrary, it reflects the US economy’s strength.

    On the Aussie front, Reserve Bank of Australia (RBA) Governor Michele Bullock commented on Thursday that CPI was a little higher than expected, but it was about where we thought it would come. Bullock added that the central bank aims to slow the economy without tipping it into recession. The markets anticipate the potential additional rate hike from the RBA on November 7, as the latest inflation figures in Australia were in line with policymakers’ expectations.

    Market participants will keep an eye on the Australian Producer Price Index (PPI) later on Friday’s early Asian session. Also, the US monthly core Personal Consumption Expenditures Price Index (PCE) will be released. These figures could give a clear direction to the AUD/USD pair.

    Technical Levels: Supports and Resistances

    AUDUSD currently trading at 0.6326 at the time of writing. Pair opened at 0.6309 and is trading with a change of 0.27 % .

    Overview Overview.1
    0 Today last price 0.6326
    1 Today Daily Change 0.0017
    2 Today Daily Change % 0.2700
    3 Today daily open 0.6309

    The pair remains strongly bearish on the daily time frame. It trades below the 20 SMA @ 0.6358, 50 SMA 0.6399, 100 SMA @ 0.6543 and 200 SMA @ 0.6644.

    Trends Trends.1
    0 Daily SMA20 0.6358
    1 Daily SMA50 0.6399
    2 Daily SMA100 0.6543
    3 Daily SMA200 0.6644

    The previous day high was 0.64 while the previous day low was 0.6305. The daily 38.2% Fib levels comes at 0.6341, expected to provide resistance. Similarly, the daily 61.8% fib level is at 0.6364, expected to provide resistance.

    Note the levels of interest below:

    • Pivot support is noted at 0.6276, 0.6244, 0.6182
    • Pivot resistance is noted at 0.6371, 0.6432, 0.6465
    Levels Levels.1
    Previous Daily High 0.6400
    Previous Daily Low 0.6305
    Previous Weekly High 0.6393
    Previous Weekly Low 0.6296
    Previous Monthly High 0.6522
    Previous Monthly Low 0.6332
    Daily Fibonacci 38.2% 0.6341
    Daily Fibonacci 61.8% 0.6364
    Daily Pivot Point S1 0.6276
    Daily Pivot Point S2 0.6244
    Daily Pivot Point S3 0.6182
    Daily Pivot Point R1 0.6371
    Daily Pivot Point R2 0.6432
    Daily Pivot Point R3 0.6465

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