The NZDUSD pair remains close to the 0.6000 level, profiting from a weaker US Dollar due to the decrease in US Treasury bond yields.

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The NZDUSD pair remains close to the 0.6000 level, profiting from a weaker US Dollar due to the decrease in US Treasury bond yields.

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  • NZD/USD hovers around the 0.6000 mark, benefiting from a softer Greenback as US Treasury bond yields experience a decline.
  • US inflation data reveals a 3.9% YoY rise in PCE, easing pressures on the Fed to increase rates beyond the current 5.25%-5.50% range.
  • Upcoming RBNZ decision and potential US government shutdown add elements of anticipation and uncertainty to the market’s future movements.
  • The pair currently trades last at 0.60041.

    The previous day high was 0.5974 while the previous day low was 0.5913. The daily 38.2% Fib levels comes at 0.5951, expected to provide support. Similarly, the daily 61.8% fib level is at 0.5936, expected to provide support.

    The New Zealand Dollar (NZD) climbs against the US Dollar (USD), sponsored by an improvement in market sentiment and a Greenback that is falling as US Treasury bond yields slide. The NZD/USD remains trading at around the 0.6000 mark, at the time of writing, gains 0.76%.

    Wall Street is trading in a better mood, as the US Department of Labor revealed the US Federal Reserve’s preferred gauge for inflation, the Personal Consumption Expenditures (PCE), which rose by 3.9% YoY, below July’s 4%, while headline inflation was 3.5% YoY as expected, a tick up from the prior’s month 3.4%.

    The data eases off pressure on the Fed to increase rates to a higher level past the current 5.25%-5.50% range. Although most policymakers remain hawkish, others remain more cautious and fear overtightening monetary policy. From those, San Francisco, Boston, and Chicago Fed Presidents Mary Daly, Susan Collins, and Austan Goolsbee commented that patience is required while they remain undecided in regard to the next FOMC decision.

    Additional data from the University of Michigan (UoM) showed that Consumer Sentiment for September’s final reading deteriorated, while inflation expectations ticked up to 3.2% from 3.1% for one year. Americans see inflation at 2.8% on a five-year horizon, up from 2.7%.

    In the meantime, next week’s economic docket will feature the Reserve Bank of New Zealand (RBNZ) decision, in which the central bank is projected to hold rates unchanged. On the US front, if a possible US government shutdown is dodged, the S&P and ISM PMIs would be released on Monday, and a tranche of Fed speakers.

    Despite rallying, the NZD/USD is downward biased despite reaching a 7-week high, and although it is trading above the 0.6000 figure, it needs a daily close above the latter to keep buyers hopeful of higher prices. Key resistance levels lie on the upside, like the June 29 daily low of 0.6050, followed by the 0.6100 mark. Conversely, if the pair ends below 0.6000, the first support would be the 50-day moving average (DMA) at 0.5986, followed by the psychological 0.5950 mark and the September 27 swing low of 0.5899.

    Technical Levels: Supports and Resistances

    NZDUSD currently trading at 0.601 at the time of writing. Pair opened at 0.5961 and is trading with a change of 0.82 % .

    Overview Overview.1
    0 Today last price 0.6010
    1 Today Daily Change 0.0049
    2 Today Daily Change % 0.8200
    3 Today daily open 0.5961

    The pair is trading above its 20 Daily moving average @ 0.5921, above its 50 Daily moving average @ 0.5992 , below its 100 Daily moving average @ 0.6081 and below its 200 Daily moving average @ 0.618

    Trends Trends.1
    0 Daily SMA20 0.5921
    1 Daily SMA50 0.5992
    2 Daily SMA100 0.6081
    3 Daily SMA200 0.6180

    The previous day high was 0.5974 while the previous day low was 0.5913. The daily 38.2% Fib levels comes at 0.5951, expected to provide support. Similarly, the daily 61.8% fib level is at 0.5936, expected to provide support.

    Note the levels of interest below:

    • Pivot support is noted at 0.5925, 0.5888, 0.5864
    • Pivot resistance is noted at 0.5986, 0.601, 0.6047
    Levels Levels.1
    Previous Daily High 0.5974
    Previous Daily Low 0.5913
    Previous Weekly High 0.5990
    Previous Weekly Low 0.5894
    Previous Monthly High 0.6219
    Previous Monthly Low 0.5885
    Daily Fibonacci 38.2% 0.5951
    Daily Fibonacci 61.8% 0.5936
    Daily Pivot Point S1 0.5925
    Daily Pivot Point S2 0.5888
    Daily Pivot Point S3 0.5864
    Daily Pivot Point R1 0.5986
    Daily Pivot Point R2 0.6010
    Daily Pivot Point R3 0.6047

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