The USDSEK currency pair surged to 11.249, marking its highest level since the beginning of November 2022.

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The USDSEK currency pair surged to 11.249, marking its highest level since the beginning of November 2022.

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  • USD/SEK soared to 11.249, its highest since early November 2022.
  • Riskbank is expected to hike 25 bps to 4%.
  • The Fed will likely deliver a hawkish pause.
  • The pair currently trades last at 11.13969.

    The previous day high was 11.206 while the previous day low was 11.1254. The daily 38.2% Fib levels comes at 11.1752, expected to provide resistance. Similarly, the daily 61.8% fib level is at 11.1562, expected to provide resistance.

    The USD/SEK saw volatility on Monday, rising to a high since November 4, 2022, then settling at 11.122, securing daily losses. The USD trading somewhat soft, and the Krona holding its ground ahead of one last hike by the Riksbank on Thursday contributed to the pair movements.

    In line with that, markets are confident that the Riksbank will deliver its last hike of 25 bps of its tightening cycle to 4%. The Swedish bank will also release updated macro forecasts, and Governor Thedeen will be on the wires on Friday. For the rest of the year, investors are discounting that there won’t be any more hikes and that the policy rate will peak at 4.05% in Q2 2024.

    On the Fed’s side, markets practically priced in a pause on Wednesday but a hawkish one. The bank will likely try to convince markets that the policy will still depend on incoming data and will leave the door open for further hikes. In the meantime, according to the CME FedWatch tool, investors are placing 35% odds on one last hike of 25 bps in November or December, but those odds will rise and fall according to the outcome of the incoming data.

    In addition, the Fed will release an updated macro forecast and revised dot plot, which will likely set the pace of the USD price dynamics and the expectations for the upcoming meetings.

    The daily chart highlights a neutral technical outlook for USD/SEK as signs of bullish exhaustion become evident, but still, the pair remains in multi-month highs. The Relative Strength Index (RSI) indicates a decrease in upward momentum with a negative slope above its midline, while the Moving Average Convergence (MACD) lays out neutral green bars. Furthermore, the pair is above the 20,100,200-day Simple Moving Average (SMA), indicating buyers command the broader perspective.

    Support levels: 11.0960, 11.0650, 11.0550.
    Resistance levels: 11.175, 11.205, 11.249.

    Technical Levels: Supports and Resistances

    USDSEK currently trading at 11.151 at the time of writing. Pair opened at 11.2003 and is trading with a change of -0.44 % .

    Overview Overview.1
    0 Today last price 11.1510
    1 Today Daily Change -0.0493
    2 Today Daily Change % -0.4400
    3 Today daily open 11.2003

    The pair remains strongly bullish on the daily timeframe. It trades above its 20 SMA @ 11.0461, 50 SMA 10.7498, 100 SMA @ 10.7033 and 200 SMA @ 10.5608.

    Trends Trends.1
    0 Daily SMA20 11.0461
    1 Daily SMA50 10.7498
    2 Daily SMA100 10.7033
    3 Daily SMA200 10.5608

    The previous day high was 11.206 while the previous day low was 11.1254. The daily 38.2% Fib levels comes at 11.1752, expected to provide resistance. Similarly, the daily 61.8% fib level is at 11.1562, expected to provide resistance.

    Note the levels of interest below:

    • Pivot support is noted at 11.1485, 11.0967, 11.0679
    • Pivot resistance is noted at 11.2291, 11.2578, 11.3096
    Levels Levels.1
    Previous Daily High 11.2060
    Previous Daily Low 11.1254
    Previous Weekly High 11.2085
    Previous Weekly Low 11.0496
    Previous Monthly High 11.0993
    Previous Monthly Low 10.4126
    Daily Fibonacci 38.2% 11.1752
    Daily Fibonacci 61.8% 11.1562
    Daily Pivot Point S1 11.1485
    Daily Pivot Point S2 11.0967
    Daily Pivot Point S3 11.0679
    Daily Pivot Point R1 11.2291
    Daily Pivot Point R2 11.2578
    Daily Pivot Point R3 11.3096

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