Some sellers are showing interest in #EURUSD at 1.0745 due to the prevailing cautious sentiment.
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- EUR/USD attracts some sellers around 1.0745 amid the cautious mood.
The pair currently trades last at 1.07421.
The previous day high was 1.0769 while the previous day low was 1.0705. The daily 38.2% Fib levels comes at 1.0745, expected to provide resistance. Similarly, the daily 61.8% fib level is at 1.073, expected to provide support.
The EUR/USD pair struggles to gain and hold below the mid-1.0700s during the early European session on Wednesday. Markets turn cautious ahead of the key US inflation data due later in the North American session. The major pair currently trades near 1.0745, down 0.07% on the day.
According to Reuters, the European Central Bank (ECB) anticipates inflation in the Eurozone to remain over 3% next year, supporting the argument for a tenth straight interest rate hike on Thursday. Market participant’s expectations on interest rates from ECB have been divided, with approximately 40% of investors anticipating a rate hike at its meeting on Thursday. Nonetheless, if the unconfirmed ECB disclosure proves accurate, the ECB could very well announce another rate rise this week. This, in turn, might boost the Euro against the Greenback and act as a headwind for the EUR/USD pair.
Across the pond, the upside of EUR/USD might be limited as market players prefer to wait on the sidelines ahead of the US Consumer Price Index (CPI) data on Wednesday. The annual rate is expected to rise from 3.2% to 3.6%, while the core figure is expected to drop from 4.7% to 4.4%. The data could trigger volatility in the pair and influence an expectation of the Federal Reserve’s monetary policy.
Furthermore, the US Dollar (USD) may benefit from the higher for longer interest rate narrative in the US. Investors expect the Federal Reserve (Fed) to maintain the interest rate unchanged in September at 5.25%-5.50%, with a 93% chance. Meanwhile, the market have priced in 40.8% the odds of a rate hike in the November meeting, according to the CME Fedwatch Tool,
Later in the day, investors will closely watch Eurozone Industrial Production and the highly anticipated US Consumer Price Index (CPI) for August for fresh impetus. On Thursday, the attention will shift to the ECB’s monetary policy and the US Retail Sales. The event could provide the EUR/USD pair with a clear direction.
Technical Levels: Supports and Resistances
EURUSD currently trading at 1.0747 at the time of writing. Pair opened at 1.0754 and is trading with a change of -0.07 % .
| Overview | Overview.1 | |
|---|---|---|
| 0 | Today last price | 1.0747 |
| 1 | Today Daily Change | -0.0007 |
| 2 | Today Daily Change % | -0.0700 |
| 3 | Today daily open | 1.0754 |
The pair remains strongly bearish on the daily time frame. It trades below the 20 SMA @ 1.0811, 50 SMA 1.0944, 100 SMA @ 1.0905 and 200 SMA @ 1.0826.
| Trends | Trends.1 | |
|---|---|---|
| 0 | Daily SMA20 | 1.0811 |
| 1 | Daily SMA50 | 1.0944 |
| 2 | Daily SMA100 | 1.0905 |
| 3 | Daily SMA200 | 1.0826 |
The previous day high was 1.0769 while the previous day low was 1.0705. The daily 38.2% Fib levels comes at 1.0745, expected to provide resistance. Similarly, the daily 61.8% fib level is at 1.073, expected to provide support.
Note the levels of interest below:
- Pivot support is noted at 1.0717, 1.0679, 1.0653
- Pivot resistance is noted at 1.078, 1.0806, 1.0844
| Levels | Levels.1 |
|---|---|
| Previous Daily High | 1.0769 |
| Previous Daily Low | 1.0705 |
| Previous Weekly High | 1.0809 |
| Previous Weekly Low | 1.0686 |
| Previous Monthly High | 1.1065 |
| Previous Monthly Low | 1.0766 |
| Daily Fibonacci 38.2% | 1.0745 |
| Daily Fibonacci 61.8% | 1.0730 |
| Daily Pivot Point S1 | 1.0717 |
| Daily Pivot Point S2 | 1.0679 |
| Daily Pivot Point S3 | 1.0653 |
| Daily Pivot Point R1 | 1.0780 |
| Daily Pivot Point R2 | 1.0806 |
| Daily Pivot Point R3 | 1.0844 |
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