The AUDUSD pair fluctuated between 0.6360 and 0.6400 on Wednesday.

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The AUDUSD pair fluctuated between 0.6360 and 0.6400 on Wednesday.

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  • AUD/USD traded in the 0.6360 – 0.6400 range on Wednesday.
  • USD gained momentum after ISM Service PMIs and the Fed’s Beige Book releases.
  • The odds of one last hike by the Fed are gaining more relevance.
  • The pair currently trades last at 0.63788.

    The previous day high was 0.6465 while the previous day low was 0.6358. The daily 38.2% Fib levels comes at 0.6399, expected to provide resistance. Similarly, the daily 61.8% fib level is at 0.6424, expected to provide resistance.

    In Wednesday’s session, the AUD/USD traded neutral but remained vulnerable below 0.6400. On the one hand, strong economic activity reports from the US strengthened the USD, while the AUD struggled to gain momentum after Tuesday’s Reserve Bank of Australia (RBA) decision.

    ISM Services PMI lived up to the expectations in August. The figure came in at 54.5, higher than the expected figure of 52.5 and above the previous 52.7. Regarding the Fed, Beige’s book, which reports on the US’s current economic situation through interviews with key business contacts and economists gathered by each of the 12 Federal Reserve Districts, revealed that economic growth was “modest” and job growth “subdued” in July and August. However, it also stated that imbalances persisted with the availability of skilled workers and the number of applicants constrained.

    Meanwhile, US bond yields jumped back to weekly highs and depicted that markets are gearing up for another Federal Reserve hike (Fed) hike, which would lift rates to 5.75%. According to the CME FedWatch tool, the odds of a 25 basis point (bps) increase in November rose above 40%, making the USD gain interest. It’s worth highlighting that the Fed stated that it needs to see the economy “cooling” to end its tightening cycle, to strong economic figures fuel hawkish bets for the remainder of the year.

    On the AUD’s side, it is struggling to gather momentum after the Reserve Bank of Australia (RBA) held interest steady at 4.10% on Tuesday, adopted a wait-and-see approach and didn’t commit to further hikes.

    The AUD/USD daily chart analysis points to a bearish outlook for the short term. The Relative Strength Index (RSI) is situated below its midline in negative territory, displaying a southward trajectory. Likewise, the Moving Average Convergence Divergence (MACD) reveals lower green bars, signifying a growing bearish momentum for the pair. Furthermore, the pair is below the 20,100 and 200-day Simple Moving Averages (SMAs), implying that the bears retain control on a broader scale.

    Support levels:0.6360, 0.6350, 0.6330.

    Resistance levels: 0.6400, 0.6440 (20-day SMA), 0.6470.

    Technical Levels: Supports and Resistances

    AUDUSD currently trading at 0.6381 at the time of writing. Pair opened at 0.6379 and is trading with a change of 0.03 % .

    Overview Overview.1
    0 Today last price 0.6381
    1 Today Daily Change 0.0002
    2 Today Daily Change % 0.0300
    3 Today daily open 0.6379

    The pair remains strongly bearish on the daily time frame. It trades below the 20 SMA @ 0.6451, 50 SMA 0.6596, 100 SMA @ 0.6637 and 200 SMA @ 0.6719.

    Trends Trends.1
    0 Daily SMA20 0.6451
    1 Daily SMA50 0.6596
    2 Daily SMA100 0.6637
    3 Daily SMA200 0.6719

    The previous day high was 0.6465 while the previous day low was 0.6358. The daily 38.2% Fib levels comes at 0.6399, expected to provide resistance. Similarly, the daily 61.8% fib level is at 0.6424, expected to provide resistance.

    Note the levels of interest below:

    • Pivot support is noted at 0.6336, 0.6293, 0.6229
    • Pivot resistance is noted at 0.6443, 0.6507, 0.655
    Levels Levels.1
    Previous Daily High 0.6465
    Previous Daily Low 0.6358
    Previous Weekly High 0.6522
    Previous Weekly Low 0.6401
    Previous Monthly High 0.6724
    Previous Monthly Low 0.6364
    Daily Fibonacci 38.2% 0.6399
    Daily Fibonacci 61.8% 0.6424
    Daily Pivot Point S1 0.6336
    Daily Pivot Point S2 0.6293
    Daily Pivot Point S3 0.6229
    Daily Pivot Point R1 0.6443
    Daily Pivot Point R2 0.6507
    Daily Pivot Point R3 0.6550

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