The US dollar to Mexican peso exchange rate, currently at 16.7851, has increased slightly after hitting a low point for the month. Analysis suggests that there is not much potential for significant further increase.

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The US dollar to Mexican peso exchange rate, currently at 16.7851, has increased slightly after hitting a low point for the month. Analysis suggests that there is not much potential for significant further increase.

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  • USD/MXN edges higher after bouncing off monthly low.
  • RSI’s rebound from oversold territory, clear upside break of immediate descending resistance line lure Mexican Peso sellers.
  • 200-SMA, Mexico GDP will test pair buyers before directing them to the key upside hurdle surrounding 17.05.
  • The pair currently trades last at 16.7851.

    The previous day high was 16.796 while the previous day low was 16.6945. The daily 38.2% Fib levels comes at 16.7572, expected to provide support. Similarly, the daily 61.8% fib level is at 16.7333, expected to provide support.

    USD/MXN seesaws around 16.78-80 amid the early hours of Tuesday’s Asian session. In doing so, the Mexican Peso (MXN) pair struggles to defend the previous day’s rebound from a six-week-old horizontal support zone, as well as an upside break of an eight-day-long previous resistance line, ahead of Mexico’s second quarter (Q2) Gross Domestic Product (GDP). Also important to track is the US Conference Boards’ (CB) Consumer Confidence for August.

    Also read: USD/MXN dives sharply despite hawkish Fed; eyes YTD low ahead of Mexico’s GDP

    Given the upbeat RSI (14) line favoring the USD/MXN pair’s rebound from the key support zone, as well as an upside break of the previous resistance line, the buyers are likely to keep the reins unless the Mexican Q2 GDP data disappoints, expected 0.9% QoQ versus 1.0% prior.

    With this, the latest recovery can approach the 200-SMA hurdle of around 16.95.

    However, a downward-sloping resistance line from August 04, close to 17.05 by the press time, will challenge the USD/MXN bulls afterward.

    In a case where the Mexican Peso (MXN) bears manage to conquer the 17.05 mark, the 17.20 level mark acts as a buffer during the run-up targeting the fresh monthly high, currently around 17.43.

    On the flip side, the aforementioned resistance-turned-support line restricts the immediate USD/MXN downside near 16.73.

    Following that, multiple levels marked since July 17, close to 16.70–69, will be crucial to watch as a clear downside break of the same won’t hesitate to refresh the multi-year low marked in July around 16.62.

    Trend: Limited upside expected

    Technical Levels: Supports and Resistances

    USDMXN currently trading at 16.7862 at the time of writing. Pair opened at 16.7898 and is trading with a change of -0.02% % .

    Overview Overview.1
    0 Today last price 16.7862
    1 Today Daily Change -0.0036
    2 Today Daily Change % -0.02%
    3 Today daily open 16.7898

    The pair remains strongly bearish on the daily time frame. It trades below the 20 SMA @ 17.0148, 50 SMA 16.9925, 100 SMA @ 17.351 and 200 SMA @ 18.1138.

    Trends Trends.1
    0 Daily SMA20 17.0148
    1 Daily SMA50 16.9925
    2 Daily SMA100 17.3510
    3 Daily SMA200 18.1138

    The previous day high was 16.796 while the previous day low was 16.6945. The daily 38.2% Fib levels comes at 16.7572, expected to provide support. Similarly, the daily 61.8% fib level is at 16.7333, expected to provide support.

    Note the levels of interest below:

    • Pivot support is noted at 16.7242, 16.6586, 16.6227
    • Pivot resistance is noted at 16.8257, 16.8616, 16.9272
    Levels Levels.1
    Previous Daily High 16.7960
    Previous Daily Low 16.6945
    Previous Weekly High 17.0800
    Previous Weekly Low 16.7366
    Previous Monthly High 17.3957
    Previous Monthly Low 16.6258
    Daily Fibonacci 38.2% 16.7572
    Daily Fibonacci 61.8% 16.7333
    Daily Pivot Point S1 16.7242
    Daily Pivot Point S2 16.6586
    Daily Pivot Point S3 16.6227
    Daily Pivot Point R1 16.8257
    Daily Pivot Point R2 16.8616
    Daily Pivot Point R3 16.9272

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