The GBPUSD pair at a rate of 1.27163 is currently lacking a clear direction for the day, but it remains above the level of 1.2715 as it awaits important data from the US.

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The GBPUSD pair at a rate of 1.27163 is currently lacking a clear direction for the day, but it remains above the level of 1.2715 as it awaits important data from the US.

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  • GBP/USD lacks firm intraday direction, holds above 1.2715 ahead of US key data.
  • The softer UK GDP data could refrain the Bank of England (BoE) from aggressively tightening policy.
  • Market anticipates an 86.0% chance that the Federal Reserve will pause rate hikes at its September meeting.
  • The Q2 UK GDP, US CPI will be in the spotlight this week.
  • The pair currently trades last at 1.27163.

    The previous day high was 1.2782 while the previous day low was 1.2712. The daily 38.2% Fib levels comes at 1.2739, expected to provide resistance. Similarly, the daily 61.8% fib level is at 1.2755, expected to provide resistance.

    The GBP/USD pair moves sideways above the 1.2700 area during the early Asian session on Thursday. Market participants prefer to wait on the sidelines and await key data from the US and UK. The US inflation figure could trigger volatility in the market later in the American trading hours.

    The Bank of England (BoE) chief economist, Huw Pill, stated last week that interest rates were expected to remain high for a longer period. He added that the central bank will be more data-dependent, and policymakers will respond as the economy and the data evolve. It’s worth noting that the Bank of England (BoE) raised interest rates by 25 basis points (bps) to a 15-year high of 5.25% from 5% in its August policy meeting.

    Investors will focus on the Gross Domestic Product (GDP) report on Thursday for fresh impetus. The weaker than expected figure could refrain the Bank of England (BoE) from aggressively tightening policy. This, in turn, weighs on the Pound Sterling.

    On the US Dollar front, the recent commentary from Federal Reserve (Fed) speakers indicated that the Fed stance has shifted from additional rate hikes to holding rates steady. The Philadelphia Fed president, Patrick Harker, stated that the central bank can leave interest rates where they are. Meanwhile, Atlanta Fed president Raphael Bostic states that no further rate hikes are necessary.

    Furthermore, money market futures do not anticipate higher borrowing rates. According to the CME FedWatch tool, the market anticipates an 86.0% chance that the Federal Reserve will pause interest rate hikes at its meeting in September. However, the US inflation data will offer hints about further monetary policy from the Fed in the next meeting. The dovish stance from the central bank might cap the upside in the Greenback and act as a tailwind for the GBP/USD pair.

    Moving on, the UK will release the preliminary Q2 Gross Domestic Product (GDP) on Friday. The annual growth rate is expected to remain at 0.2%. Also, the UK Industrial Production and Manufacturing production data will be due. On the US docket, the key events will be the US Consumer Price Index (CPI) and the Producer Price Index (PPI) for July. These data could provide hints for a clear direction in GBP/USD.

    Technical Levels: Supports and Resistances

    GBPUSD currently trading at 1.2717 at the time of writing. Pair opened at 1.2719 and is trading with a change of -0.02 % .

    Overview Overview.1
    0 Today last price 1.2717
    1 Today Daily Change -0.0002
    2 Today Daily Change % -0.0200
    3 Today daily open 1.2719

    The pair is trading below its 20 Daily moving average @ 1.2867, below its 50 Daily moving average @ 1.2757 , above its 100 Daily moving average @ 1.26 and above its 200 Daily moving average @ 1.2337

    Trends Trends.1
    0 Daily SMA20 1.2867
    1 Daily SMA50 1.2757
    2 Daily SMA100 1.2600
    3 Daily SMA200 1.2337

    The previous day high was 1.2782 while the previous day low was 1.2712. The daily 38.2% Fib levels comes at 1.2739, expected to provide resistance. Similarly, the daily 61.8% fib level is at 1.2755, expected to provide resistance.

    Note the levels of interest below:

    • Pivot support is noted at 1.2693, 1.2668, 1.2623
    • Pivot resistance is noted at 1.2763, 1.2808, 1.2834
    Levels Levels.1
    Previous Daily High 1.2782
    Previous Daily Low 1.2712
    Previous Weekly High 1.2873
    Previous Weekly Low 1.2621
    Previous Monthly High 1.3142
    Previous Monthly Low 1.2659
    Daily Fibonacci 38.2% 1.2739
    Daily Fibonacci 61.8% 1.2755
    Daily Pivot Point S1 1.2693
    Daily Pivot Point S2 1.2668
    Daily Pivot Point S3 1.2623
    Daily Pivot Point R1 1.2763
    Daily Pivot Point R2 1.2808
    Daily Pivot Point R3 1.2834

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