The AUDUSD pair, currently trading at 0.65696, is anticipated to continue falling below 0.6565 following the positive US ADP employment report.

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The AUDUSD pair, currently trading at 0.65696, is anticipated to continue falling below 0.6565 following the positive US ADP employment report.

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  • AUD/USD is expected to extend its downside below 0.6565 amid the upbeat US ADP employment report.
  • The USD Index drives higher as the stellar addition of private payrolls would set a positive undertone for Fed policy.
  • RBA Lowe kept doors open for more interest rates as inflation will take time to return to 2% amid the tight labor market.
  • The pair currently trades last at 0.65696.

    The previous day high was 0.6724 while the previous day low was 0.6602. The daily 38.2% Fib levels comes at 0.6649, expected to provide resistance. Similarly, the daily 61.8% fib level is at 0.6677, expected to provide resistance.

    The AUD/USD pair prepares to extend losses below the immediate support of 0.6565 as the United States Automatic Data Processing (ADP) reports that employment additions were higher than expectations. The US labor market witnessed an addition of fresh 324K private payrolls, significantly higher than the estimates of 189K but lower than the former release of 497K.

    The US Dollar Index (DXY) delivers a breakout of the consolidation formed around 102.10 as upbeat labor market conditions have propelled hopes of one more interest rate hike from the Federal Reserve (Fed).

    ADP Employment data set a positive undertone for the US Nonfarm Payrolls (NFP) data for July, which will be published on Friday at 12:30 GMT. According to the estimates, the economic data is seen at 200K, slightly lower than the former reading of 209K. The Unemployment Rate is expected to remain steady at 3.6%. Apart from the employment additions, investors will keenly focus on the Average Hourly Earnings.

    Expectations state that labor earnings gained at a pace of 0.3% in July, lower than the former pace of 0.4%. The annual data is expected to decelerate to 4.2% against the former release of 4.4%.

    On the Australian Dollar front, the Reserve Bank of Australia (RBA) kept interest rates unchanged at 4.1%. RBA Governor Philip Lowe kept doors open for more interest rates as inflation will take time to return to 2% amid a tight labor market. Over the inflation outlook, the central bank forecasted that inflation will return to 2-3% by late 2025.

    Technical Levels: Supports and Resistances

    AUDUSD currently trading at 0.6578 at the time of writing. Pair opened at 0.6613 and is trading with a change of -0.53 % .

    Overview Overview.1
    0 Today last price 0.6578
    1 Today Daily Change -0.0035
    2 Today Daily Change % -0.5300
    3 Today daily open 0.6613

    The pair remains strongly bearish on the daily time frame. It trades below the 20 SMA @ 0.6737, 50 SMA 0.67, 100 SMA @ 0.6692 and 200 SMA @ 0.6732.

    Trends Trends.1
    0 Daily SMA20 0.6737
    1 Daily SMA50 0.6700
    2 Daily SMA100 0.6692
    3 Daily SMA200 0.6732

    The previous day high was 0.6724 while the previous day low was 0.6602. The daily 38.2% Fib levels comes at 0.6649, expected to provide resistance. Similarly, the daily 61.8% fib level is at 0.6677, expected to provide resistance.

    Note the levels of interest below:

    • Pivot support is noted at 0.6569, 0.6525, 0.6448
    • Pivot resistance is noted at 0.669, 0.6768, 0.6812
    Levels Levels.1
    Previous Daily High 0.6724
    Previous Daily Low 0.6602
    Previous Weekly High 0.6821
    Previous Weekly Low 0.6623
    Previous Monthly High 0.6895
    Previous Monthly Low 0.6599
    Daily Fibonacci 38.2% 0.6649
    Daily Fibonacci 61.8% 0.6677
    Daily Pivot Point S1 0.6569
    Daily Pivot Point S2 0.6525
    Daily Pivot Point S3 0.6448
    Daily Pivot Point R1 0.6690
    Daily Pivot Point R2 0.6768
    Daily Pivot Point R3 0.6812

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