At the beginning of the week, the USDCAD currency pair managed to regain the 1.3250 level.

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At the beginning of the week, the USDCAD currency pair managed to regain the 1.3250 level.

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  • USD/CAD reclaimed the 1.3250 mark at the start of a new week.
  • The Canadian Gross Domestic Product (GDP) grew by 0.3% in May, matching market consensus.
  • The US annual Personal Consumption Expenditures (PCE) Price Index rose at its slowest pace in over two years.
  • The pair currently trades last at 1.32511.

    The previous day high was 1.3255 while the previous day low was 1.3201. The daily 38.2% Fib levels comes at 1.3234, expected to provide support. Similarly, the daily 61.8% fib level is at 1.3222, expected to provide support.

    The USD/CAD pair kicks off the new week on a positive note and edges higher above the critical resistance area at 1.3250 during the early Asian session. Market participants will keep an eye on Canadian and US employment data later this week. The major pair currently trades around 1.3260, up 0.06% for the day.

    Statistics Canada showed on Friday that the Canadian Gross Domestic Product (GDP) grew by 0.3% in May, matching market consensus. However, the figure is likely to contract in June, suggesting an economic slowdown in the country. This could bring an end to the Bank of Canada’s (BoC) tightening cycle that has pushed interest rates to a 22-year high.

    That said, the BoC announced a 25 basis point (bps) rate hike to 5.0% on July 12. BoC Governor Tiff Macklem disclosed that future policy decisions would be based on incoming data and the inflation outlook. Market participants anticipated that the Bank of Canada (BoC) would not deem it necessary to increase interest rates further this year.

    Meanwhile, the uptick in oil prices has supported the Loonie and offset a slowdown in the Canadian manufacturing sector. Higher crude prices strengthen the Canadian Dollar, as the country is the leading oil exporter to the United States.

    On the US Dollar front, annual US inflation grew at its slowest pace in over two years. The US Bureau of Economic Analysis reported on Friday that the Personal Consumption Expenditures (PCE) Price Index fell from 3.8% in May to 3% in June, below the market expectation of 3.1%. While the Federal Reserve’s preferred measure of inflation, the Core PCE Price Index, came in at 4.1% annually, down from 4.6% in May and below market expectations of 4.2%. Finally, Personal Income and Personal Spending MoM increased by 0.3% and 0.5%, respectively. The softer data indicates pricing pressures are easing and may bring the Federal Reserve (Fed) closer to the end of its hiking cycle.

    Later this week, investors will closely watch the Canadian employment data on Friday. Also, the US ADP Employment Change for July and Nonfarm Payrolls will be key events to monitor. The data will be critical for determining a clear movement for the USD/CAD pair.

    Technical Levels: Supports and Resistances

    USDCAD currently trading at 1.3248 at the time of writing. Pair opened at 1.3254 and is trading with a change of -0.05 % .

    Overview Overview.1
    0 Today last price 1.3248
    1 Today Daily Change -0.0006
    2 Today Daily Change % -0.0500
    3 Today daily open 1.3254

    The pair is trading above its 20 Daily moving average @ 1.3219, below its 50 Daily moving average @ 1.3305 , below its 100 Daily moving average @ 1.3423 and below its 200 Daily moving average @ 1.3463

    Trends Trends.1
    0 Daily SMA20 1.3219
    1 Daily SMA50 1.3305
    2 Daily SMA100 1.3423
    3 Daily SMA200 1.3463

    The previous day high was 1.3255 while the previous day low was 1.3201. The daily 38.2% Fib levels comes at 1.3234, expected to provide support. Similarly, the daily 61.8% fib level is at 1.3222, expected to provide support.

    Note the levels of interest below:

    • Pivot support is noted at 1.3218, 1.3183, 1.3165
    • Pivot resistance is noted at 1.3272, 1.329, 1.3326
    Levels Levels.1
    Previous Daily High 1.3255
    Previous Daily Low 1.3201
    Previous Weekly High 1.3255
    Previous Weekly Low 1.3147
    Previous Monthly High 1.3585
    Previous Monthly Low 1.3117
    Daily Fibonacci 38.2% 1.3234
    Daily Fibonacci 61.8% 1.3222
    Daily Pivot Point S1 1.3218
    Daily Pivot Point S2 1.3183
    Daily Pivot Point S3 1.3165
    Daily Pivot Point R1 1.3272
    Daily Pivot Point R2 1.3290
    Daily Pivot Point R3 1.3326

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