The USDCHF pair, currently trading at 0.86117, continues to face downward pressure for the third day in a row as it moves closer to its lowest levels in several years, which were recorded last week.

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The USDCHF pair, currently trading at 0.86117, continues to face downward pressure for the third day in a row as it moves closer to its lowest levels in several years, which were recorded last week.

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  • USD/CHF remains pressured for the third consecutive day while declining toward multi-year low marked the last week.
  • US Dollar weakness fades amid cautious mood ahead of ECB, US GDP.
  • Fed announces 0.25% increase in interest rates but markets expect its to be the last.
  • Swiss Franc pair’s recovery remains elusive as US statistics fail to underpin September rate hike concerns.
  • The pair currently trades last at 0.86117.

    The previous day high was 0.8656 while the previous day low was 0.8598. The daily 38.2% Fib levels comes at 0.862, expected to provide resistance. Similarly, the daily 61.8% fib level is at 0.8634, expected to provide resistance.

    USD/CHF bears jostle with the key support around 0.8580 as markets brace for the European Central Bank (ECB) monetary policy decision during early Thursday, making rounds to 0.8600 round figure by the press time.

    Even so, the Swiss Franc (CHF) pair stays bearish for the third consecutive day amid the broad US Dollar weakness, as well as due to the market’s cautious optimism. That said, the US Dollar Index (DXY) prints a three-day downtrend despite the Federal Reserve’s (Fed) 0.25% interest rate hike, as well as readiness for an interest rate increase in September, amid fears of a sooner end to the tightening spell. Also likely to have weighed on the greenback could be expectations of witnessing further easing in the US data, which in turn will challenge the Fed from lifting the rates in September.

    It’s worth observing that the US stock futures regain upside momentum targeting the yearly high marked the previous day while equities in the Asia-Pacific zone also edge higher as market participants sense a sooner end to the rate hike trajectory at the major central banks. Additionally, improvements in China data and the International Monetary Fund’s (IMF) rejection of the recession woes also underpin the market’s mildly positive outlook.

    It should be noted that the Swiss National Bank (SNB) appears more hawkish compared to the Fed and hence exert downside pressure on the USD/CHF prices.

    Looking ahead, the first readings of the US Gross Domestic Product (GDP) Annualized for the second quarter (Q2), expected to ease to 1.8% from 2.0%, will be important to watch for clear directions. Also crucial will be the US Durable Goods Orders for June, likely easing to 1.0% from 1.8% prior (revised), as well as the monetary policy announcements from the European Central Bank (ECB).

    A seven-week-old rising support line, around 0.8580 by the press time, challenges USD/CHF bears from refreshing the lowest level since 2015 by breaking the 0.8555 mark. That said, the nearly oversold RSI also prods the Swiss Franc (CHF) buyers. However, a corrective bounce remains elusive unless crossing May’s bottom of 0.8820.

    Technical Levels: Supports and Resistances

    USDCHF currently trading at 0.8602 at the time of writing. Pair opened at 0.8608 and is trading with a change of -0.07% % .

    Overview Overview.1
    0 Today last price 0.8602
    1 Today Daily Change -0.0006
    2 Today Daily Change % -0.07%
    3 Today daily open 0.8608

    The pair remains strongly bearish on the daily time frame. It trades below the 20 SMA @ 0.8764, 50 SMA 0.8915, 100 SMA @ 0.898 and 200 SMA @ 0.9198.

    Trends Trends.1
    0 Daily SMA20 0.8764
    1 Daily SMA50 0.8915
    2 Daily SMA100 0.8980
    3 Daily SMA200 0.9198

    The previous day high was 0.8656 while the previous day low was 0.8598. The daily 38.2% Fib levels comes at 0.862, expected to provide resistance. Similarly, the daily 61.8% fib level is at 0.8634, expected to provide resistance.

    Note the levels of interest below:

    • Pivot support is noted at 0.8585, 0.8562, 0.8526
    • Pivot resistance is noted at 0.8644, 0.868, 0.8703
    Levels Levels.1
    Previous Daily High 0.8656
    Previous Daily Low 0.8598
    Previous Weekly High 0.8684
    Previous Weekly Low 0.8555
    Previous Monthly High 0.9120
    Previous Monthly Low 0.8902
    Daily Fibonacci 38.2% 0.8620
    Daily Fibonacci 61.8% 0.8634
    Daily Pivot Point S1 0.8585
    Daily Pivot Point S2 0.8562
    Daily Pivot Point S3 0.8526
    Daily Pivot Point R1 0.8644
    Daily Pivot Point R2 0.8680
    Daily Pivot Point R3 0.8703

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