Despite weak factory data in the UK, the EURGBP currency pair has experienced a significant drop from 0.8570 to 0.85569.

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Despite weak factory data in the UK, the EURGBP currency pair has experienced a significant drop from 0.8570 to 0.85569.

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  • EUR/GBP has dropped sharply from 0.8570 despite UK’s weak factory data.
  • Signs are clear that UK firms are facing the burden of higher interest rates by the BoE.
  • ECB Visco conveyed, “We are not very far’ from the peak in interest rates.”
  • The pair currently trades last at 0.85569.

    The previous day high was 0.8576 while the previous day low was 0.8506. The daily 38.2% Fib levels comes at 0.8549, expected to provide support. Similarly, the daily 61.8% fib level is at 0.8532, expected to provide support.

    The EUR/GBP pair has faced selling pressure after climbing above 0.8570 in the European session. The cross has corrected despite United Kingdom’s factory activity data for May remained weak broadly. Monthly Industrial Production contracted at a higher pace of 0.6% than expectations of -0.4%. On an annualized basis, the economic data matched expectations of 2.3% contractions.

    Manufacturing Production reported a light pace in contraction at 0.2% vs. the consensus of -0.5%. Meanwhile, the economic indicator remained between the consensus of -1.7% and the prior release of -0.6% at -1.2%. Monthly Gross Domestic Product (GDP) has posted a contraction of 0.1% while investors were anticipating a contraction of 0.3%.

    Signs are clear that UK firms are facing the burden of higher interest rates by the Bank of England (BoE). More interest rates from BoE Governor Andrew Bailey are highly expected as current inflation at 8.7% is extremely far from the desired rate of 2%. Financial markets are expecting that interest rates will peak in a 6.25-6.5% range.

    Post UK factory data, Finance Minister Jeremy Hunt said that “while an extra Bank Holiday had an impact on growth in May, high inflation remains a drag anchor on economic growth.”

    “The best way to get growth going again and ease the pressure on families is to bring inflation down as quickly as possible. Our plan will work, but we must stick to it,” Hunt added.

    Meanwhile, in Eurozone, inflationary pressures are sticky as wage pressures have not softened as expected and the labor market is still strong. About interest rate guidance, European Central Bank (ECB) Governing Council member Ignazio Visco said, “We are not very far’ from the peak in interest rates.”

    Further policy-tightening by ECB President Christine Lagarde is highly expected in July’s monetary policy meeting.

    Technical Levels: Supports and Resistances

    EURGBP currently trading at 0.8549 at the time of writing. Pair opened at 0.857 and is trading with a change of -0.25 % .

    Overview Overview.1
    0 Today last price 0.8549
    1 Today Daily Change -0.0021
    2 Today Daily Change % -0.2500
    3 Today daily open 0.8570

    The pair remains strongly bearish on the daily time frame. It trades below the 20 SMA @ 0.8569, 50 SMA 0.8621, 100 SMA @ 0.8718 and 200 SMA @ 0.8734.

    Trends Trends.1
    0 Daily SMA20 0.8569
    1 Daily SMA50 0.8621
    2 Daily SMA100 0.8718
    3 Daily SMA200 0.8734

    The previous day high was 0.8576 while the previous day low was 0.8506. The daily 38.2% Fib levels comes at 0.8549, expected to provide support. Similarly, the daily 61.8% fib level is at 0.8532, expected to provide support.

    Note the levels of interest below:

    • Pivot support is noted at 0.8525, 0.8481, 0.8456
    • Pivot resistance is noted at 0.8595, 0.862, 0.8664
    Levels Levels.1
    Previous Daily High 0.8576
    Previous Daily Low 0.8506
    Previous Weekly High 0.8606
    Previous Weekly Low 0.8521
    Previous Monthly High 0.8658
    Previous Monthly Low 0.8518
    Daily Fibonacci 38.2% 0.8549
    Daily Fibonacci 61.8% 0.8532
    Daily Pivot Point S1 0.8525
    Daily Pivot Point S2 0.8481
    Daily Pivot Point S3 0.8456
    Daily Pivot Point R1 0.8595
    Daily Pivot Point R2 0.8620
    Daily Pivot Point R3 0.8664

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