The price of gold, currently at $1,956.06, is anticipated to surpass the immediate barrier of $1,960.00 due to a significant decline in US inflation.

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The price of gold, currently at $1,956.06, is anticipated to surpass the immediate barrier of $1,960.00 due to a significant decline in US inflation.

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  • Gold price is expected to cross the immediate resistance of $1,960.00 as US inflation has decelerated sharply.
  • The US Dollar Index has turned sideways around 100.50 after a five-day losing streak.
  • Gold price has delivered a breakout of the Inverted Head and Shoulder chart pattern.
  • The pair currently trades last at 1956.06.

    The previous day high was 1959.73 while the previous day low was 1932.22. The daily 38.2% Fib levels comes at 1949.22, expected to provide support. Similarly, the daily 61.8% fib level is at 1942.73, expected to provide support.

    Gold price (XAU/USD) has faced fragile barricades while attempting to surpass the immediate resistance of $1,960.00 in the late Asian session. The precious metal has is expected to resume its upside journey as inflationary pressures in the United States have softened dramatically and are sufficient to encourage the Federal Reserve (Fed) to go with only one interest rate hike by year-end.

    S&P500 futures have posted significant gains overnight. US equities ended on a bullish note on Wednesday, portraying strength in the risk appetite theme. The US-500 stock basket could show some uncertain moves as the second-quarter result season will kick off sooner.

    The US Dollar Index (DXY) has turned sideways around 100.50 after a five-day losing streak as the sheer softening of the United States Consumer Price Index (CPI) has trimmed fears of a potential recession. On Thursday, US Producer Price Index (PPI) data will be keenly watched.

    About interest rate guidance, economists at Commerzbank cited that in the US, there are increasing signs that inflationary pressure is easing. In June, consumer prices rose by only 0.2% compared with the previous month. The core rate (which excludes energy and food), which is important as a measure of the underlying trend, was also only 0.2%, the smallest increase since February 2021. While the Fed is still likely to raise interest rates again at the end of the month, the data support our view that this should be the last hike.

    Gold price has delivered a breakout of the Inverted Head and Shoulder chart pattern formed on a four-hour scale. A breakout of the aforementioned chart pattern has resulted in a bullish reversal. The neckline of the chart pattern was plotted around June 21 high at $1,940.00. The next stop for the Gold bulls is placed around May 19 high at $1,984.25.

    The 20-period Exponential Moving Average (EMA) at $1,940.21 will continue to provide a cushion to the Gold bulls.

    Meanwhile, the Relative Strength Index (RSI) (14) has confidently shifted into the bullish range of 60.00-80.00, which indicates that the bullish momentum has been triggered.

    Technical Levels: Supports and Resistances

    XAUUSD currently trading at 1957.14 at the time of writing. Pair opened at 1957.48 and is trading with a change of -0.02 % .

    Overview Overview.1
    0 Today last price 1957.14
    1 Today Daily Change -0.34
    2 Today Daily Change % -0.02
    3 Today daily open 1957.48

    The pair is trading above its 20 Daily moving average @ 1927.75, below its 50 Daily moving average @ 1957.53 , above its 100 Daily moving average @ 1950.96 and above its 200 Daily moving average @ 1869.98

    Trends Trends.1
    0 Daily SMA20 1927.75
    1 Daily SMA50 1957.53
    2 Daily SMA100 1950.96
    3 Daily SMA200 1869.98

    The previous day high was 1959.73 while the previous day low was 1932.22. The daily 38.2% Fib levels comes at 1949.22, expected to provide support. Similarly, the daily 61.8% fib level is at 1942.73, expected to provide support.

    Note the levels of interest below:

    • Pivot support is noted at 1939.89, 1922.3, 1912.38
    • Pivot resistance is noted at 1967.4, 1977.32, 1994.91
    Levels Levels.1
    Previous Daily High 1959.73
    Previous Daily Low 1932.22
    Previous Weekly High 1935.09
    Previous Weekly Low 1902.77
    Previous Monthly High 1983.50
    Previous Monthly Low 1893.01
    Daily Fibonacci 38.2% 1949.22
    Daily Fibonacci 61.8% 1942.73
    Daily Pivot Point S1 1939.89
    Daily Pivot Point S2 1922.30
    Daily Pivot Point S3 1912.38
    Daily Pivot Point R1 1967.40
    Daily Pivot Point R2 1977.32
    Daily Pivot Point R3 1994.91

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