During the Asian session on Wednesday, the NZDUSD pair stayed restricted within a small range of trading around the level of 0.61780.

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During the Asian session on Wednesday, the NZDUSD pair stayed restricted within a small range of trading around the level of 0.61780.

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  • NZD/USD remains confined in a narrow trading band through the Asian session on Wednesday.
  • A modest USD strength, along with economic woes, act as a headwind for the risk-sensitive Kiwi.
  • Investors now look to Fed Chair Jerome Powell’s testimony before placing fresh directional bets.
  • The pair currently trades last at 0.61780.

    The previous day high was 0.6215 while the previous day low was 0.6133. The daily 38.2% Fib levels comes at 0.6164, expected to provide support. Similarly, the daily 61.8% fib level is at 0.6184, expected to provide resistance.

    The NZD/USD pair struggles to capitalize on the overnight bounce from the 0.6135-0.6130 area or a one-week low and oscillates in a narrow band through the Asian session on Wednesday. Spot prices currently trade around the 0.6165-0.6170 region, nearly unchanged for the day, with bulls awaiting sustained strength beyond the 200-hour Simple Moving Average (SMA) before positioning for any meaningful intraday appreciating move.

    The US Dollar (USD) attracts some dip-buying following the previous day’s modest pullback from the 50-day SMA and is seen as a key factor acting as a headwind for the NZD/USD pair. The Federal Reserve (Fed) last week signalled that borrowing costs may still need to rise as much as 50 bps by the end of this year and continues to lend some support to the Greenback. Apart from this, worries about a global economic downturn, particularly in China, further benefit the safe-haven buck and contribute to capping the upside for the risk-sensitive Kiwi.

    Investors, however, seem convinced that the US central bank is nearing the end of its year-long policy tightening cycle. This had led to the recent decline in the US Treasury bond yields, which is capping gains for the USD and helping limit the downside for the NZD/USD pair, at least for the time being. Traders also seem reluctant to place aggressive bets and now seem to have moved to the sidelines, awaiting Fed Chair Jerome Powell’s two-day semi-annual congressional testimony, starting this Wednesday, before positioning for the next leg of a directional move.

    Market participants will closely scrutinize Powell’s comments for fresh clues about the Fed’s future rate-hike path. This, along with speeches by a slew of influential FOMC members, will play a key role in driving the USD demand and provide some impetus to the NZD/USD pair later during the early North American session. That said, the Reserve Bank of New Zealand’s (RBNZ) explicit signal that it was done with its most aggressive hiking cycle since 1999 favours bearish traders and suggests that the path of least resistance for spot prices is to the downside.

    Technical Levels: Supports and Resistances

    NZDUSD currently trading at 0.6167 at the time of writing. Pair opened at 0.6167 and is trading with a change of 0.0 % .

    Overview Overview.1
    0 Today last price 0.6167
    1 Today Daily Change 0.0000
    2 Today Daily Change % 0.0000
    3 Today daily open 0.6167

    The pair is trading above its 20 Daily moving average @ 0.611, below its 50 Daily moving average @ 0.6177 , below its 100 Daily moving average @ 0.6213 and above its 200 Daily moving average @ 0.6153

    Trends Trends.1
    0 Daily SMA20 0.6110
    1 Daily SMA50 0.6177
    2 Daily SMA100 0.6213
    3 Daily SMA200 0.6153

    The previous day high was 0.6215 while the previous day low was 0.6133. The daily 38.2% Fib levels comes at 0.6164, expected to provide support. Similarly, the daily 61.8% fib level is at 0.6184, expected to provide resistance.

    Note the levels of interest below:

    • Pivot support is noted at 0.6129, 0.609, 0.6047
    • Pivot resistance is noted at 0.621, 0.6254, 0.6292
    Levels Levels.1
    Previous Daily High 0.6215
    Previous Daily Low 0.6133
    Previous Weekly High 0.6250
    Previous Weekly Low 0.6076
    Previous Monthly High 0.6385
    Previous Monthly Low 0.5985
    Daily Fibonacci 38.2% 0.6164
    Daily Fibonacci 61.8% 0.6184
    Daily Pivot Point S1 0.6129
    Daily Pivot Point S2 0.6090
    Daily Pivot Point S3 0.6047
    Daily Pivot Point R1 0.6210
    Daily Pivot Point R2 0.6254
    Daily Pivot Point R3 0.6292

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