The GBPUSD currency pair fluctuates near a five-week peak following a release of a combination of positive and negative economic statistics from the UK.

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The GBPUSD currency pair fluctuates near a five-week peak following a release of a combination of positive and negative economic statistics from the UK.

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  • GBP/USD seesaws around five-week high after mixed UK data dump.
  • UK GDP improves in April but Manufacturing, Industrial Production fail to impress Cable bulls.
  • Increasing odds of BoE rate hike versus Fed’s pause to 1.5-year-old rate increase cycle keeps Pound Sterling buyers hopeful.
  • Fed policymakers need to dump calls of more rate hikes, revise economic forecasts to propel GBP/USD, Powell’s Speech eyed.
  • The pair currently trades last at 1.26096.

    The previous day high was 1.2625 while the previous day low was 1.2508. The daily 38.2% Fib levels comes at 1.258, expected to provide support. Similarly, the daily 61.8% fib level is at 1.2553, expected to provide support.

    GBP/USD pays little heed to the mixed UK data as it remains sidelined around 1.2600 after a slew of British economics released heading into Wednesday’s London open. The reason could be linked to the market’s cautious mood ahead of the Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) monetary policy meeting. Also, the lack of uniformity in data and doubt about the UK’s economic strength also prod the Pound Sterling traders of late.

    That said, the UK’s Gross Domestic Product (GDP) for April matches 0.2% growth versus -0.3% prior while the Industrial Production slumps during the stated month. That said, the Industrial Production also disappoints and so do the Index of Services for three months to April.

    Also read: UK GDP expands 0.2% MoM in April vs. 0.2% expected

    Despite the latest disappointment from the mid-tier UK data, versus upbeat British GDP figures, the GBP/USD pair remains on the bull’s radar as Britain reported upbeat employment and inflation numbers previously. Also, the early signals from the Bank of England (BoE) have been in favor of more rate hikes.

    Apart from that, downbeat prints of the US inflation numbers, as per the Consumer Price Index (CPI) and Core CPI figures for May, drowned the US Dollar and defend the Cable buyers.

    While the initial reaction to the UK data dump fails to impress the Cable pair traders, mainly due to the pre-Fed anxiety, the quote appears to run out of hawkish bias and hence a surprise positive tone of Fed Chair Jerome Powell and/or upbeat economic forecasts, may recall the sellers.

    Also read: Fed to pause, focus on July meeting

    An ascending resistance line from June 01, around 1.2615 by the press time, precedes the monthly high of near 1.2625, also comprising the peak of Doji candlestick marked on four-hour chart the previous day, to limit the GBP/USD pair’s upside.

    However, the bears need validation from the 61.8% Fibonacci retracement level of its May month fall, around 1.2535 to retake control even for intraday.

    Technical Levels: Supports and Resistances

    GBPUSD currently trading at 1.2603 at the time of writing. Pair opened at 1.2612 and is trading with a change of -0.07% % .

    Overview Overview.1
    0 Today last price 1.2603
    1 Today Daily Change -0.0009
    2 Today Daily Change % -0.07%
    3 Today daily open 1.2612

    The pair remains strongly bullish on the daily timeframe. It trades above its 20 SMA @ 1.2448, 50 SMA 1.2473, 100 SMA @ 1.2313 and 200 SMA @ 1.2027.

    Trends Trends.1
    0 Daily SMA20 1.2448
    1 Daily SMA50 1.2473
    2 Daily SMA100 1.2313
    3 Daily SMA200 1.2027

    The previous day high was 1.2625 while the previous day low was 1.2508. The daily 38.2% Fib levels comes at 1.258, expected to provide support. Similarly, the daily 61.8% fib level is at 1.2553, expected to provide support.

    Note the levels of interest below:

    • Pivot support is noted at 1.2538, 1.2465, 1.2421
    • Pivot resistance is noted at 1.2655, 1.2698, 1.2772
    Levels Levels.1
    Previous Daily High 1.2625
    Previous Daily Low 1.2508
    Previous Weekly High 1.2590
    Previous Weekly Low 1.2369
    Previous Monthly High 1.2680
    Previous Monthly Low 1.2308
    Daily Fibonacci 38.2% 1.2580
    Daily Fibonacci 61.8% 1.2553
    Daily Pivot Point S1 1.2538
    Daily Pivot Point S2 1.2465
    Daily Pivot Point S3 1.2421
    Daily Pivot Point R1 1.2655
    Daily Pivot Point R2 1.2698
    Daily Pivot Point R3 1.2772

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