#GBPJPY @ 174.231 surges to year’s high, up by 0.18%, amid positive market sentiment. (Pivot Orderbook analysis)

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• GBP/JPY surges to year’s high, up by 0.18%, amid positive market sentiment.
• Expectations of a dovish Fed and resolution of the US debt-ceiling imbue strength to high beta currencies.
• Despite the overall upward bias, the technical outlook suggests potential downside pressure on GBP/JPY.

The pair currently trades last at 174.231.

The previous day high was 174.19 while the previous day low was 172.97. The daily 38.2% Fib levels comes at 173.73, expected to provide support. Similarly, the daily 61.8% fib level is at 173.44, expected to provide support.

GBP/JPY climbed to fresh year-to-date (YTD) highs at 174.68 before a pullback that dragged the exchange rate toward the 174.10s area. A risk-on impulse caused expectations for a dovish US Federal Reserve (Fed) amongst geopolitical issues like the US debt-ceiling resolution underpinned high beta currencies. Therefore, safe-haven peers persisted pressured, as the GBP/JPY traded at 174.12, up 0.18%.

The GBP/JPY is still upward biased, confirmed by price action widening its distance from the Tenkan-Sen and Kijun-Sen lines below the exchange rate. In addition, price action is another bullish signal above the Ichimoku cloud.

Nevertheless, an upslope resistance trendline from the May 2 highs cushioned the GBP/JPY rally; while a support trendline, drawn from the April and May lows, indicates a rising wedge forming. That means further downside pressure is expected.

If GBP/JPY falls below the 174.00 figure, the next support would be the Tenkan-Sen at 172.95. A breach of the latter will expose the 2022 high turned support at 172.13 before testing April 28 daily high at 171.16. Conversely, the uptrend would continue above the YTD high at 174.68 once cleared, and the GBP/JPY could rally to the 175.00 mark, followed by the 2016 high at 177.37.

Technical Levels: Supports and Resistances

GBPJPY currently trading at 174.27 at the time of writing. Pair opened at 173.85 and is trading with a change of 0.24 % .

The pair remains strongly bullish on the daily timeframe. It trades above its 20 SMA @ 171.61, 50 SMA 168.22, 100 SMA @ 164.6 and 200 SMA @ 164.42.

The previous day high was 174.19 while the previous day low was 172.97. The daily 38.2% Fib levels comes at 173.73, expected to provide support. Similarly, the daily 61.8% fib level is at 173.44, expected to provide support.

Note the levels of interest below:

• Pivot support is noted at 173.15, 172.45, 171.93
• Pivot resistance is noted at 174.37, 174.89, 175.59

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