#EURUSD @ 1.07300 struggles to extend corrective bounce off multi-day low., @nehcap view: Further recovery expected (Pivot Orderbook analysis)
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- EUR/USD struggles to extend corrective bounce off multi-day low.
- Bearish MACD signals, market’s cautious mood prod Euro buyers.
- RSI conditions, clear break of previous key resistances keep buyers directed towards 100-DMA.
- Sellers need validation from five-month-old ascending support line to retake control.
The pair currently trades last at 1.07300.
The previous day high was 1.0747 while the previous day low was 1.0672. The daily 38.2% Fib levels comes at 1.072, expected to provide support. Similarly, the daily 61.8% fib level is at 1.0729, expected to provide support.
EUR/USD remains sidelined around 1.0730-35 as bulls seek more clues to extend the previous day’s recovery from a 10-week low amid Wednesday’s sluggish Asian session. In doing so, the Euro pair portrays the market’s anxiety as the key European/US data and events stand ready to prod the market’s momentum.
Also read: EUR/USD rebound pauses around 1.0750, German inflation, US employment clues eyed
That said, the Euro pair’s successful trading above a downward-sloping trend line from early May, around 1.0725, as well as the 61.8% Fibonacci retracement of its January-May upside, near 1.0715, joins the nearly oversold RSI (14) line to keep the buyers hopeful of further upside.
However, the bearish MACD signals and a horizontal area comprising multiple levels marked since mid-March, close to 1.0760, appear a tough nut to crack for the EUR/USD bulls.
Even if the Euro buyers manage to cross the 1.0760 hurdle, the 100-DMA level surrounding 1.0815 can act as the last defense of the bears.
Meanwhile, the EUR/USD pair’s downside remains elusive unless it drops back below the aforementioned 61.8% Fibonacci retracement level, also known as the golden ratio, around 1.0715. It should be noted that the resistance-turned-support line near 1.0725 limits the immediate downside of the quote.
In a case where the EUR/USD drops below 1.0715, the 1.0700 round figure and an upward-sloping support line from March 15 will be in the spotlight.
Trend: Further recovery expected
Technical Levels: Supports and Resistances
EURUSD currently trading at 1.0732 at the time of writing. Pair opened at 1.0734 and is trading with a change of -0.02% % .
| Overview | Overview.1 | |
|---|---|---|
| 0 | Today last price | 1.0732 |
| 1 | Today Daily Change | -0.0002 |
| 2 | Today Daily Change % | -0.02% |
| 3 | Today daily open | 1.0734 |
The pair is trading below its 20 Daily moving average @ 1.0859, below its 50 Daily moving average @ 1.0903 , below its 100 Daily moving average @ 1.0816 and above its 200 Daily moving average @ 1.049
| Trends | Trends.1 | |
|---|---|---|
| 0 | Daily SMA20 | 1.0859 |
| 1 | Daily SMA50 | 1.0903 |
| 2 | Daily SMA100 | 1.0816 |
| 3 | Daily SMA200 | 1.0490 |
The previous day high was 1.0747 while the previous day low was 1.0672. The daily 38.2% Fib levels comes at 1.072, expected to provide support. Similarly, the daily 61.8% fib level is at 1.0729, expected to provide support.
Note the levels of interest below:
- Pivot support is noted at 1.0689, 1.0644, 1.0615
- Pivot resistance is noted at 1.0763, 1.0792, 1.0837
| Levels | Levels.1 |
|---|---|
| Previous Daily High | 1.0747 |
| Previous Daily Low | 1.0672 |
| Previous Weekly High | 1.0831 |
| Previous Weekly Low | 1.0702 |
| Previous Monthly High | 1.1095 |
| Previous Monthly Low | 1.0788 |
| Daily Fibonacci 38.2% | 1.0720 |
| Daily Fibonacci 61.8% | 1.0729 |
| Daily Pivot Point S1 | 1.0689 |
| Daily Pivot Point S2 | 1.0644 |
| Daily Pivot Point S3 | 1.0615 |
| Daily Pivot Point R1 | 1.0763 |
| Daily Pivot Point R2 | 1.0792 |
| Daily Pivot Point R3 | 1.0837 |
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