#GBPJPY @ 172.434 has recovered sharply and has climbed to near 172.50 after the release of mixed UK Retail Sales. (Pivot Orderbook analysis)

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• GBP/JPY has recovered sharply and has climbed to near 172.50 after the release of mixed UK Retail Sales.
• Monthly UK Retail Sales have expanded sharply, portraying resilience in the households’ demand.
• BoJ Ueda is considering options for tweaking YCC.

The pair currently trades last at 172.434.

The previous day high was 172.78 while the previous day low was 171.7. The daily 38.2% Fib levels comes at 172.36, expected to provide support. Similarly, the daily 61.8% fib level is at 172.11, expected to provide support.

The GBP/JPY pair has slipped below the immediate support of 172.30 in the early European session. The cross has faced immense pressure after the release of the mixed United Kingdom Retail Sales data (April).

Monthly Retail Sales expanded by 0.5% vs. 0.3% as expected and against a contraction of 1.2% reported earlier. While annual Retail Sales missed estimates and contracted by 3.0% against the consensus of a 2.8% contraction. Monthly Retail Sales excluding volatile fuel factors have expanded by 0.5% while the street was anticipating an expansion of 0.3%.

Solid expansion in UK monthly Retail Sales indicates that households’ demand is resilient, which will keep pressure on the Bank of England (BoE). On Thursday, BoE interest rate-setter Jonathan Haskel said, if we do see evidence of more inflation persistence, we will tighten policy.

UK Finance Minister is confident that inflation will be halved by the year-end as promised by UK Prime Minister Rishi Sunak. He further added the administration wants to cut taxes to provide relief to households from stubborn inflation and for that inflation needs to bring down otherwise it could have catastrophic effects.

On the Japanese Yen front, discussions about a tweak in Yield Curve Control (YCC) by Bank of Japan (BoJ) Kazuo Ueda have put the Japanese Yen under the spotlight. BoJ Ueda cited that “Shortening the duration of bond yields it targets to the five-year zone from the current 10-year zone could be among options.”

Technical Levels: Supports and Resistances

GBPJPY currently trading at 172.39 at the time of writing. Pair opened at 172.58 and is trading with a change of -0.11 % .

The pair remains strongly bullish on the daily timeframe. It trades above its 20 SMA @ 170.78, 50 SMA 166.98, 100 SMA @ 163.92 and 200 SMA @ 164.12.

The previous day high was 172.78 while the previous day low was 171.7. The daily 38.2% Fib levels comes at 172.36, expected to provide support. Similarly, the daily 61.8% fib level is at 172.11, expected to provide support.

Note the levels of interest below:

• Pivot support is noted at 171.92, 171.27, 170.85
• Pivot resistance is noted at 173.0, 173.43, 174.08

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