#XAUUSD @ 2,002.10 Gold price is oscillating in a narrow range around $2,000 ahead of preliminary US S&P PMI data. (Pivot Orderbook analysis)

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#XAUUSD @ 2,002.10 Gold price is oscillating in a narrow range around $2,000 ahead of preliminary US S&P PMI data. (Pivot Orderbook analysis)

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  • Gold price is oscillating in a narrow range around $2,000 ahead of preliminary US S&P PMI data.
  • A move beyond the 100.90-102.03 boundary in the USD Index will be considered a decisive move.
  • Gold price is expected to show more upside after breaking above the immediate resistance plotted from $2,011.90.

The pair currently trades last at 2002.10.

The previous day high was 2012.44 while the previous day low was 1990.56. The daily 38.2% Fib levels comes at 2004.08, expected to provide resistance. Similarly, the daily 61.8% fib level is at 1998.92, expected to provide support.

Gold price (XAU/USD) is displaying a back-and-forth action above the psychological resistance of $2,000.00 in the Asian session. The precious metal has turned sideways to near $2,005.00 after a gradual upside as investors are awaiting the release of the preliminary United States S&P PMI data for fresh impetus.

S&P500 futures have added some gains in the Asian session after three back-to-back bearish settlements. The weak revenue guidance from Tesla due to Elon Musk’s price-cutting spree dented market sentiment. The US Dollar Index (DXY) has extended its correction to near 101.77. The USD Index is inside the woods, consolidating in a range of 100.90-102.03 for the past few trading sessions. Therefore, a move beyond the aforementioned boundary will be considered a decisive move.

The subdued USD index is also weighing on US Treasury yields. The demand for US government bonds has improved amid rising weekly jobless claims. The number of individuals claiming due to unemployment rose to 245K from the consensus of 240K. This signaled a cool-off in the tight labor market and raised hopes of no more rate hikes from the Federal Reserve (Fed) beyond May’s monetary policy meeting.

Going forward, the release of the preliminary US S&P PMI data will dictate the impact on the scale of economic activities due to higher rates from the Fed. As per the estimates, Manufacturing and Services PMI will ease to 49.0 and 51.5 respectively. A weaker-than-projected preliminary PMI data could weigh heavily on the US Dollar.

Gold price showed a stellar recovery after dropping to near the Rising Channel chart pattern formed on a two-hour scale. The precious metal is facing hurdles near the immediate resistance plotted from April 18 high at $2,011.90.

The 20-period Exponential Moving Average (EMA) at $2,000.40 is providing a cushion to the Gold bulls.

Meanwhile, the Relative Strength Index (RSI) (14) is making efforts for overstepping 60.00. An occurrence of the same will activate the bullish momentum.

Technical Levels: Supports and Resistances

XAUUSD currently trading at 2002.98 at the time of writing. Pair opened at 2004.8 and is trading with a change of -0.09 % .

Overview Overview.1
0 Today last price 2002.98
1 Today Daily Change -1.82
2 Today Daily Change % -0.09
3 Today daily open 2004.80

The pair remains strongly bullish on the daily timeframe. It trades above its 20 SMA @ 1995.18, 50 SMA 1917.47, 100 SMA @ 1885.31 and 200 SMA @ 1799.01.

Trends Trends.1
0 Daily SMA20 1995.18
1 Daily SMA50 1917.47
2 Daily SMA100 1885.31
3 Daily SMA200 1799.01

The previous day high was 2012.44 while the previous day low was 1990.56. The daily 38.2% Fib levels comes at 2004.08, expected to provide resistance. Similarly, the daily 61.8% fib level is at 1998.92, expected to provide support.

Note the levels of interest below:

  • Pivot support is noted at 1992.76, 1980.72, 1970.88
  • Pivot resistance is noted at 2014.64, 2024.48, 2036.52
Levels Levels.1
Previous Daily High 2012.44
Previous Daily Low 1990.56
Previous Weekly High 2048.75
Previous Weekly Low 1986.28
Previous Monthly High 2009.88
Previous Monthly Low 1809.46
Daily Fibonacci 38.2% 2004.08
Daily Fibonacci 61.8% 1998.92
Daily Pivot Point S1 1992.76
Daily Pivot Point S2 1980.72
Daily Pivot Point S3 1970.88
Daily Pivot Point R1 2014.64
Daily Pivot Point R2 2024.48
Daily Pivot Point R3 2036.52

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