#EURGBP @ 0.88192 extends the previous day’s pullback from three-week high. (Pivot Orderbook analysis)
…
This is a premium post.
[s2If !current_user_can(access_s2member_level4)]Please register for PREMIUM VERSION HERE to read full post below containing analysis. In case of any error or you think you are not able to read the full post below, please email us at support#nehcap.com [lwa][/s2If] [s2If current_user_can(access_s2member_level4)]
- EUR/GBP extends the previous day’s pullback from three-week high.
- UK Claimant Count Change improved to 28.2K in March, ILO Unemployment Rate rose to 3.8% in three months to February.
- ECB policymakers’ indecision joins cautious mood ahead of EU/German ZEW data to prod EUR/GBP traders.
The pair currently trades last at 0.88192.
The previous day high was 0.8864 while the previous day low was 0.8821. The daily 38.2% Fib levels comes at 0.8838, expected to provide resistance. Similarly, the daily 61.8% fib level is at 0.8848, expected to provide resistance.
EUR/GBP takes offers to refresh intraday low near 0.8825 after upbeat UK jobs report during early Tuesday. Adding strength to the bearish bias is the latest indecision of the European Central Bank (ECB) policymakers, as well as the cautious mood ahead of the Eurozone and Germany’s ZEW Survey data for April.
UK’s latest Claimant Count Change rose to 28.2K in March, versus -11.8K expected and -11.2K prior, whereas the ILO Unemployment Rate rose to 3.8% during three months to February from 3.7% prior and market forecasts. Further, Average Earnings rose during the three months to February.
Also read: UK ILO Unemployment Rate rises to 3.8% in February vs. 3.7% expected
Given the latest firmer UK data, coupled with the Bank of England (BoE) policymakers’ readiness to keep the rates higher, the EUR/GBP pair bears the burden of the hawkish BoE bias due to the data.
On the other hand, ECB policymakers appear divided between the 25 basis points (bps) and 50 bps move. On Monday, ECB policymaker Martins Kazaks said, “The central bank has the option of 25 basis points (bps) or 50 bps move in May.”
Against this backdrop, S&P 500 Futures remain indecisive even as Wall Street closed with mild gains. That said, the US 10-year and two-year Treasury bond yields snap a three-day uptrend with mild losses around 3.60% and 4.18% by the press time.
Looking forward, EUR/GBP traders should pay attention to the Eurozone and Germany’s sentiment figures from the ZEW Survey for April as market sentiment dwindles ahead of the data and can allow the bloc’s currency to regain upside momentum.
A daily closing beyond a 10-week-old descending resistance line, around 0.8850 at the latest, becomes necessary for the EUR/GBP bulls.
Technical Levels: Supports and Resistances
EURGBP currently trading at 0.883 at the time of writing. Pair opened at 0.8829 and is trading with a change of 0.01% % .
| Overview | Overview.1 | |
|---|---|---|
| 0 | Today last price | 0.883 |
| 1 | Today Daily Change | 0.0001 |
| 2 | Today Daily Change % | 0.01% |
| 3 | Today daily open | 0.8829 |
The pair remains strongly bullish on the daily timeframe. It trades above its 20 SMA @ 0.8798, 50 SMA 0.8823, 100 SMA @ 0.8794 and 200 SMA @ 0.8707.
| Trends | Trends.1 | |
|---|---|---|
| 0 | Daily SMA20 | 0.8798 |
| 1 | Daily SMA50 | 0.8823 |
| 2 | Daily SMA100 | 0.8794 |
| 3 | Daily SMA200 | 0.8707 |
The previous day high was 0.8864 while the previous day low was 0.8821. The daily 38.2% Fib levels comes at 0.8838, expected to provide resistance. Similarly, the daily 61.8% fib level is at 0.8848, expected to provide resistance.
Note the levels of interest below:
- Pivot support is noted at 0.8812, 0.8795, 0.8769
- Pivot resistance is noted at 0.8855, 0.8881, 0.8898
| Levels | Levels.1 |
|---|---|
| Previous Daily High | 0.8864 |
| Previous Daily Low | 0.8821 |
| Previous Weekly High | 0.8860 |
| Previous Weekly Low | 0.8763 |
| Previous Monthly High | 0.8925 |
| Previous Monthly Low | 0.8718 |
| Daily Fibonacci 38.2% | 0.8838 |
| Daily Fibonacci 61.8% | 0.8848 |
| Daily Pivot Point S1 | 0.8812 |
| Daily Pivot Point S2 | 0.8795 |
| Daily Pivot Point S3 | 0.8769 |
| Daily Pivot Point R1 | 0.8855 |
| Daily Pivot Point R2 | 0.8881 |
| Daily Pivot Point R3 | 0.8898 |
[/s2If]
Join Our Telegram Group




