#AUDUSD @ 0.66675 struggles for directions after reversing from six-week high., @nehcap view: Further downside expected (Pivot Orderbook analysis)
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- AUD/USD struggles for directions after reversing from six-week high.
- Below 50 RSI (14), receding bearish bias of MACD signals favor corrective bounce off the key Fibonacci retracement.
- Clear downside break of one-month-old ascending trend line keeps sellers hopeful.
The pair currently trades last at 0.66675.
The previous day high was 0.6691 while the previous day low was 0.6641. The daily 38.2% Fib levels comes at 0.6672, expected to provide resistance. Similarly, the daily 61.8% fib level is at 0.666, expected to provide support.
AUD/USD seesaws around 0.6670 as it seeks fresh clues to extend the previous day’s rebound from the 61.8% Fibonacci retracement level of its March-April upside.
Even if the Aussie pair struggles to extend the previous day’s recovery from the key Fibonacci retracement, also known as the “golden ratio”, a sustained downside break of the one-month-old ascending trend line, now immediate resistance near 0.6690, keeps bears hopeful.
Also challenging the AUD/USD buyers is the recently easing RSI (14) line, suggesting dip-buying, as well as the improving MACD line from the bearish territory.
It’s worth noting, however, that an upside break of the support-turned-resistance line of near 0.6690 isn’t an open invitation to the AUD/USD bulls as a convergence of the 50-SMA and 38.2% Fibonacci retracement level, around 0.6705, appears a tough nut to crack for the bulls.
Following that, a 13-day-old horizontal area near 0.6760 could challenge the upside momentum near 0.6755-60.
On the flip side, the 61.8% Fibonacci retracement level of around 0.6650 acts as a short-term key support to watch during the AUD/USD pair’s fresh downside.
In a case where the Aussie pair remains bearish past 0.6650, multiple levels near 0.6630 can test the sellers before directing them to the previous monthly low of near 0.6560.
Trend: Further downside expected
Technical Levels: Supports and Resistances
AUDUSD currently trading at 0.6673 at the time of writing. Pair opened at 0.6674 and is trading with a change of -0.01% % .
| Overview | Overview.1 | |
|---|---|---|
| 0 | Today last price | 0.6673 |
| 1 | Today Daily Change | -0.0001 |
| 2 | Today Daily Change % | -0.01% |
| 3 | Today daily open | 0.6674 |
The pair remains strongly bearish on the daily time frame. It trades below the 20 SMA @ 0.6688, 50 SMA 0.6784, 100 SMA @ 0.68 and 200 SMA @ 0.6748.
| Trends | Trends.1 | |
|---|---|---|
| 0 | Daily SMA20 | 0.6688 |
| 1 | Daily SMA50 | 0.6784 |
| 2 | Daily SMA100 | 0.6800 |
| 3 | Daily SMA200 | 0.6748 |
The previous day high was 0.6691 while the previous day low was 0.6641. The daily 38.2% Fib levels comes at 0.6672, expected to provide resistance. Similarly, the daily 61.8% fib level is at 0.666, expected to provide support.
Note the levels of interest below:
- Pivot support is noted at 0.6646, 0.6618, 0.6596
- Pivot resistance is noted at 0.6696, 0.6719, 0.6746
| Levels | Levels.1 |
|---|---|
| Previous Daily High | 0.6691 |
| Previous Daily Low | 0.6641 |
| Previous Weekly High | 0.6793 |
| Previous Weekly Low | 0.6641 |
| Previous Monthly High | 0.6784 |
| Previous Monthly Low | 0.6564 |
| Daily Fibonacci 38.2% | 0.6672 |
| Daily Fibonacci 61.8% | 0.6660 |
| Daily Pivot Point S1 | 0.6646 |
| Daily Pivot Point S2 | 0.6618 |
| Daily Pivot Point S3 | 0.6596 |
| Daily Pivot Point R1 | 0.6696 |
| Daily Pivot Point R2 | 0.6719 |
| Daily Pivot Point R3 | 0.6746 |
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