#GBPUSD @ 1.23990 refreshes multi-day top after rising the most in two weeks the previous day. (Pivot Orderbook analysis)

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#GBPUSD @ 1.23990 refreshes multi-day top after rising the most in two weeks the previous day. (Pivot Orderbook analysis)

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  • GBP/USD refreshes multi-day top after rising the most in two weeks the previous day.
  • Optimism about UK’s multi-billion trade deal, easing bank fears please bulls.
  • Receding hawkish Fed bets, mixed US data joins hopes of downbeat inflation to propel Cable price.
  • Final readings of UK Q4 GDP, US Core PCE Price Index eyed for clear directions.

The pair currently trades last at 1.23990.

The previous day high was 1.2393 while the previous day low was 1.2294. The daily 38.2% Fib levels comes at 1.2355, expected to provide support. Similarly, the daily 61.8% fib level is at 1.2332, expected to provide support.

GBP/USD bulls attack the 1.2400 threshold while refreshing the highest levels in two months during early Friday. In doing so, the Cable pair cheers optimism surrounding the UK’s Trans-Atlantic trade deal amid easing fears from the banking sector. However, the cautious mood ahead of the Federal Reserve’s (Fed) preferred inflation gauge, namely the US Core Personal Consumption Expenditure (PCE) Price Index for February, prods the pair buyers of late.

UK Prime Minister Rishi Sunak hails a £1.8billion Brexit boost as Britain signed up to the giant Trans-Pacific Partnership, per The Sun. The news also mentioned, “The deal, which follows two years of talks, opens the door to free trade with 11 nations including Japan, Australia, Mexico, Malaysia and Singapore.”

On the other hand, Federal Reserve Chairman Jerome Powell joined three other Fed Officials to back further rate hikes on Thursday, citing the need to tame the inflation woes. However, mixed US data raise doubts about the Fed policymakers’ hawkish rhetoric and rather concentrated on the policymakers’ rejection of banking crisis woes to weigh on the US Dollar.

“Inflation remains too high, and recent indicators reinforce my view that there is more work to do to bring inflation down to the 2% target associated with price stability,” Federal Reserve Bank of Boston leader Susan Collins said in remarks to a gathering of the National Association for Business Economics per Reuters. Following her was Minneapolis Fed President Neel Kashkari who said, “We have to bring down inflation.” On the same line was Richmond Fed President Thomas Barkin saying that if inflation persists, we can react by raising rates further.

It’s worth noting that US Treasury Secretary Janet Yellen said on Thursday, “Banking system is sound, even as it has come under pressure.”

While portraying the mood, the US 10-year Treasury bond yields remain pressured near 3.55% while the two-year counterpart grinds higher around 4.12%, targeting the first weekly gain in four. Further, Wall Street closed positive for the third consecutive day whereas S&P 500 Futures also print mild gains at the latest.

Looking forward, the final reading of the UK’s fourth quarter (Q4) Gross Domestic Product (GDP) will be important to watch for the intraday move. However, major attention should be given to the headlines surrounding the inflation data from the US, as well as the central bankers’ reaction to the same.

Also read: US February PCE Inflation Preview: Bad news for the Dollar, good news for the Fed?

A sustained break of the 10-week-old horizontal resistance area, now support around 1.2285-65, joins the clear respect of a fortnight-long ascending trend line, close to 1.2320, to keep the GBP/USD pair buyers hopeful.

Technical Levels: Supports and Resistances

GBPUSD currently trading at 1.2391 at the time of writing. Pair opened at 1.2388 and is trading with a change of 0.02% % .

Overview Overview.1
0 Today last price 1.2391
1 Today Daily Change 0.0003
2 Today Daily Change % 0.02%
3 Today daily open 1.2388

The pair remains strongly bullish on the daily timeframe. It trades above its 20 SMA @ 1.2149, 50 SMA 1.215, 100 SMA @ 1.2125 and 200 SMA @ 1.1895.

Trends Trends.1
0 Daily SMA20 1.2149
1 Daily SMA50 1.2150
2 Daily SMA100 1.2125
3 Daily SMA200 1.1895

The previous day high was 1.2393 while the previous day low was 1.2294. The daily 38.2% Fib levels comes at 1.2355, expected to provide support. Similarly, the daily 61.8% fib level is at 1.2332, expected to provide support.

Note the levels of interest below:

  • Pivot support is noted at 1.2324, 1.2259, 1.2225
  • Pivot resistance is noted at 1.2423, 1.2458, 1.2522
Levels Levels.1
Previous Daily High 1.2393
Previous Daily Low 1.2294
Previous Weekly High 1.2344
Previous Weekly Low 1.2167
Previous Monthly High 1.2402
Previous Monthly Low 1.1915
Daily Fibonacci 38.2% 1.2355
Daily Fibonacci 61.8% 1.2332
Daily Pivot Point S1 1.2324
Daily Pivot Point S2 1.2259
Daily Pivot Point S3 1.2225
Daily Pivot Point R1 1.2423
Daily Pivot Point R2 1.2458
Daily Pivot Point R3 1.2522

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