#AUDUSD @ 0.67097 reverses the previous weekly loss, grinds higher of late. (Pivot Orderbook analysis)

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• AUD/USD reverses the previous weekly loss, grinds higher of late.
• Firmer sentiment, softer US Dollar allow Aussie bulls to keep the reins.
• Fed policymakers tease further rate hikes but don’t confirm the size of it and allow policy doves to remain hopeful.
• China-linked fears jostle with easing bank turmoil fears to tease buyers ahead of key data.

The pair currently trades last at 0.67097.

The previous day high was 0.6713 while the previous day low was 0.6662. The daily 38.2% Fib levels comes at 0.6681, expected to provide support. Similarly, the daily 61.8% fib level is at 0.6693, expected to provide support.

AUD/USD bulls occupy the driver’s seat while reversing the previous weekly losses around 0.6715 as traders await the key inflation clues from the US on Friday. Adding importance to the day’s Asian session are China’s official Purchasing Managers’ Indexes (PMIs) for March.

Receding fears of the banking crisis join the confusion about the future rate hikes among the key central banks to allow the AUD/USD pair to cheer the risk-on mood. Adding strength to the optimism, as well as the Aussie price are the comments from China suggesting higher growth figures in March that the first two months of the year.

That said, Fed Chair Jerome Powell teased one more rate hike in the current year and the other policymakers followed the suit while highlighting the task of taming inflation. However, the majority of them appeared cautious of not sounding too hawkish and hence raised doubts that the price pressure is easing. Additionally favoring the risk appetite, as well as the AUD/USD price, were comments suggesting the soundness of the banking sector.

Alternatively, China’s Taiwan Affairs Office threatened retaliation over Taiwan President Tsai Ing-wen’s visit to the US on Wednesday. Additionally, China’s Premier Li Qiang recently said that the economic situation in March is even better than in January and February. The policymaker, however, also raised geopolitical tension by opposing trade protectionism and decoupling, which indirectly targets the US.

Amid these plays, Wall Street closed positive but the yields grind higher and weigh on the US Dollar.

Moving on, China NBS PMIs for March will precede the Fed’s favorite inflation gauge to direct AUD/USD moves. Forecasts suggest that China’s headline NBS Manufacturing PMI is expected to ease to 51.5 versus 52.6 prior.

Also read: US February PCE Inflation Preview: Bad news for the Dollar, good news for the Fed?

AUD/USD extends recovery from a three-week-old ascending support line, around 0.6660, towards 200-DMA hurdle surrounding 0.6755.

Technical Levels: Supports and Resistances

AUDUSD currently trading at 0.6713 at the time of writing. Pair opened at 0.6684 and is trading with a change of 0.43% % .

The pair is trading above its 20 Daily moving average @ 0.6667, below its 50 Daily moving average @ 0.6829 , below its 100 Daily moving average @ 0.6799 and below its 200 Daily moving average @ 0.6754

The previous day high was 0.6713 while the previous day low was 0.6662. The daily 38.2% Fib levels comes at 0.6681, expected to provide support. Similarly, the daily 61.8% fib level is at 0.6693, expected to provide support.

Note the levels of interest below:

• Pivot support is noted at 0.6659, 0.6635, 0.6608
• Pivot resistance is noted at 0.6711, 0.6738, 0.6763

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