#EURUSD @ 1.05475 portrays corrective bounce from a two-month low marked the previous day. (Pivot Orderbook analysis)

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• EUR/USD portrays corrective bounce from a two-month low marked the previous day.
• Absence of impressive data/events, repeat comments from ECB, Fed policymakers limit immediate Euro moves.
• Upbeat yields favor bears despite recent action on US President Biden’s push for higher taxes.
• Second-tier US job numbers can entertain traders ahead of Friday’s US NFP.

The pair currently trades last at 1.05475.

The previous day high was 1.0574 while the previous day low was 1.0524. The daily 38.2% Fib levels comes at 1.0543, expected to provide support. Similarly, the daily 61.8% fib level is at 1.0555, expected to provide resistance.

EUR/USD struggles to extend the previous day’s recovery moves from a two-month low, making rounds to 1.0550 during early Thursday. In doing so, the major currency pair traces the sluggish markets amid a light calendar and an absence of major surprises from the central bankers. It’s worth noting that the mixed data from the US and Eurozone join the cautious mood ahead of Friday’s key jobs report to also restrict the Euro currency pair’s latest moves.

Recently, US President Joe Biden’s proposal to inflate the corporation tax seems to weigh on the mood and tease EUR/USD sellers. Even so, the S&P 500 Futures remain 0.05% down on a day and fail to mark any notable moves on a broader front.

On Wednesday, German Retail Sales dropped to -6.9% YoY for January from -6.4% prior and -6.1% analysts’ estimations while Industrial Production growth jumped to 3.5% versus 1.4% expected and -2.4% previous readings (revised).

Further, the Eurozone Employment Change eased to 0.3% QoQ during the fourth quarter (Q4) versus 0.4% market forecasts and prior whereas the seasonally adjusted Gross Domestic Product (GDP) eased to 1.8% YoY during the said pair versus 1.9% expected and previous readings.

Considering the data, ECB Governing Council member Ignazio Visco said in a statement on Wednesday, “monetary policy will have to remain prudent.” The policymaker also added, “Monetary policy should be guided by data as it becomes available.”

On the other hand, the US ADP Employment Change rose to 242K in February versus 200K market forecasts and 119K prior (revised). Further, the US Goods and Services Trade Balance dropped to $-68.3B from the $-67.2B previous reading (revised) and $-68.9B analysts’ estimations. It should be noted that the US JOLTS Job Openings for January improved to 10.824M versus 10.6M expected but eased from 11.234M revised prior.

It should be noted that the benchmark US Treasury bond yields rose in the last three consecutive days and raised recession fears via the widest difference between the two-year and 10-year bond coupons.

That said, Federal Reserve Chairman Jerome Powell repeated his hawkish remarks in front of the House Financial Service Committee. The policymaker highlighted the data dependency of the Fed while also signaling that they have underestimated the resilience of growth and inflation.

Looking ahead, the second-tier US job numbers may entertain EUR/USD traders ahead of Friday’s United States employment report.

Although Wednesday’s Doji Candlestick challenges the EUR/USD bears around a two-month low, recovery remain elusive unless the quote offers a successful trading beyond an upward-sloping trend line from early December 2022, around 1.0555 by the press time.

Technical Levels: Supports and Resistances

EURUSD currently trading at 1.0551 at the time of writing. Pair opened at 1.0548 and is trading with a change of 0.03% % .

The pair is trading below its 20 Daily moving average @ 1.0644, below its 50 Daily moving average @ 1.0725 , above its 100 Daily moving average @ 1.0519 and above its 200 Daily moving average @ 1.0327

The previous day high was 1.0574 while the previous day low was 1.0524. The daily 38.2% Fib levels comes at 1.0543, expected to provide support. Similarly, the daily 61.8% fib level is at 1.0555, expected to provide resistance.

Note the levels of interest below:

• Pivot support is noted at 1.0523, 1.0499, 1.0474
• Pivot resistance is noted at 1.0573, 1.0598, 1.0622

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