#AUDNZD @ 1.09878 pierces the key support confluence surrounding 1.1000 on RBNZ moves. (Pivot Orderbook analysis)

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#AUDNZD @ 1.09878 pierces the key support confluence surrounding 1.1000 on RBNZ moves. (Pivot Orderbook analysis)

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  • AUD/NZD pierces the key support confluence surrounding 1.1000 on RBNZ moves.
  • RBNZ meets the market consensus of 50bp rate lift to 4.75%.
  • Cautious optimism ahead of Fed Minutes, mixed data challenge the pair buyers.

The pair currently trades last at 1.09878.

The previous day high was 1.1082 while the previous day low was 1.1013. The daily 38.2% Fib levels comes at 1.1039, expected to provide resistance. Similarly, the daily 61.8% fib level is at 1.1056, expected to provide resistance.

AUD/NZD slumps nearly 60 pips to 1.0980 during early Wednesday morning in Europe as the Reserve Bank of New Zealand (RBNZ) announced its much-awaited interest rate decision. In doing so, the cross-currency pair ignores geopolitical fears surrounding Chin and North Korea, as well as fears of less hawkish RBNZ move due to the natural calamities in New Zealand.

That said, the RBNZ announced its 10th rate hike as the policymakers struggle to tame the inflation fears, cutting benchmark rate by 0.50% to 4.75%. Following the RBNZ decision, the quarterly Rate Statement said, “There are early signs of lessening price pressures.” The same should challenge the AUD/NZD bears.

Elsewhere, comments from US Secretary of State Antony Blinken and Russian President Vladimir Putin were the top catalysts that weigh on the market sentiment. That said, the US Secretary of State Blinked said the United States suspects China is considering providing military support to Russia. On the same line are the market concerns of the US-Taiwan trade deal. On the other hand, Russia suspended its nuclear arms treaty with the US and pledged to maintain its military actions in Ukraine.

Furthermore, Russian President Vladimir Putin delivered his state of the nation address to Russia’s Federal Assembly while speaking to both houses of parliament on Tuesday. During the speech, Russian President Putin clearly mentioned, “Our task is to lead our economy to new frontiers,” which in turn highlights further geopolitical tension surrounding Ukraine. On the same line, US Deputy Treasury Secretary Wally Adeyemo said on Tuesday, “US and allies plan new sanctions this week to continue to isolate Russia over the war in Ukraine.”

Amid these plays, the US 10-year and two-year treasury bond yields seesaw around the three-month highs marked the previous day while S&P 500 Futures print mild gains despite Wall Street’s negative closing.

Having witnessed the initial reaction of the RBNZ’s move, the AUD/NZD pair traders should concentrate on the risk catalysts, mainly surrounding China and Russia, for clear directions. Should the geopolitical woes keep hunting the market’s optimism, the quote may witness further downside.

A daily closing below the convergence of the 200-DMA and a two-month-old ascending support line, around 1.1000 by the press time, becomes necessary for the AUD/NZD bears to retake control. Meanwhile,

Technical Levels: Supports and Resistances

AUDNZD currently trading at 1.1026 at the time of writing. Pair opened at 1.1039 and is trading with a change of -0.12% % .

Overview Overview.1
0 Today last price 1.1026
1 Today Daily Change -0.0013
2 Today Daily Change % -0.12%
3 Today daily open 1.1039

The pair remains strongly bullish on the daily timeframe. It trades above its 20 SMA @ 1.0974, 50 SMA 1.0838, 100 SMA @ 1.0887 and 200 SMA @ 1.1003.

Trends Trends.1
0 Daily SMA20 1.0974
1 Daily SMA50 1.0838
2 Daily SMA100 1.0887
3 Daily SMA200 1.1003

The previous day high was 1.1082 while the previous day low was 1.1013. The daily 38.2% Fib levels comes at 1.1039, expected to provide resistance. Similarly, the daily 61.8% fib level is at 1.1056, expected to provide resistance.

Note the levels of interest below:

  • Pivot support is noted at 1.1008, 1.0976, 1.0939
  • Pivot resistance is noted at 1.1076, 1.1113, 1.1145
Levels Levels.1
Previous Daily High 1.1082
Previous Daily Low 1.1013
Previous Weekly High 1.1035
Previous Weekly Low 1.0929
Previous Monthly High 1.0986
Previous Monthly Low 1.0726
Daily Fibonacci 38.2% 1.1039
Daily Fibonacci 61.8% 1.1056
Daily Pivot Point S1 1.1008
Daily Pivot Point S2 1.0976
Daily Pivot Point S3 1.0939
Daily Pivot Point R1 1.1076
Daily Pivot Point R2 1.1113
Daily Pivot Point R3 1.1145

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