#GBPUSD @ 1.20886 witnessed a dramatic intraday turnaround from sub-1.2000 levels on Tuesday. (Pivot Orderbook analysis)
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- GBP/USD witnessed a dramatic intraday turnaround from sub-1.2000 levels on Tuesday.
- The upbeat UK PMI prints boost the Sterling and prompt an aggressive short-covering move.
- Hawkish Fed expectations, a softer risk tone underpins the USD and caps any further gains.
The pair currently trades last at 1.20886.
The previous day high was 1.2057 while the previous day low was 1.2015. The daily 38.2% Fib levels comes at 1.2031, expected to provide support. Similarly, the daily 61.8% fib level is at 1.2041, expected to provide support.
The GBP/USD pair reverses an early European session dip to levels just below the 1.2000 psychological mark and rallies over 125 pips from the daily low. Spot prices turn positive for the third straight day and climb beyond the 1.2100 round figure, hitting a four-day high in the last hour.
The British Pound strengthens across the board in reaction to the better-than-expected UK PMI prints and prompts aggressive short-covering around the GBP/USD pair. In fact, S&P Global’s flash UK Manufacturing PMI unexpectedly improved to 49.2 in February from 47.0 in the previous month. Adding to this, the gauge for the UK services sector returns to expansion territory and jumps to 53.3 during the reported month, squashing the recession narrative and boosting the Sterling.
That said, expectations that the Bank of England’s (BoE) current rate-hiking cycle is nearing the end, along with sustained US Dollar buying, act as a headwind for the GBP/USD pair. Firming expectations that the Fed will stick to its hawkish stance trigger a fresh leg up in the US Treasury bond yields and underpin the buck. Apart from this, a generally weaker tone around the equity markets further benefits the Greenback’s relative safe-haven status against its British counterpart.
Hence, it will be prudent to wait for strong follow-through buying before placing fresh bullish bets around the GBP/USD pair and positioning for an extension of the recent bounce from the 1.1915 area, or the lowest level since January 6 touched last Friday. Market participants now look forward to the flash US PMI prints and Existing Home Sales. This, along with the US bond yields and the broader risk sentiment, will drive the USD demand and provide some impetus to the major.
Technical Levels: Supports and Resistances
GBPUSD currently trading at 1.2102 at the time of writing. Pair opened at 1.2036 and is trading with a change of 0.55 % .
| Overview | Overview.1 | |
|---|---|---|
| 0 | Today last price | 1.2102 |
| 1 | Today Daily Change | 0.0066 |
| 2 | Today Daily Change % | 0.5500 |
| 3 | Today daily open | 1.2036 |
The pair is trading below its 20 Daily moving average @ 1.218, below its 50 Daily moving average @ 1.2169 , above its 100 Daily moving average @ 1.191 and above its 200 Daily moving average @ 1.1939
| Trends | Trends.1 | |
|---|---|---|
| 0 | Daily SMA20 | 1.2180 |
| 1 | Daily SMA50 | 1.2169 |
| 2 | Daily SMA100 | 1.1910 |
| 3 | Daily SMA200 | 1.1939 |
The previous day high was 1.2057 while the previous day low was 1.2015. The daily 38.2% Fib levels comes at 1.2031, expected to provide support. Similarly, the daily 61.8% fib level is at 1.2041, expected to provide support.
Note the levels of interest below:
- Pivot support is noted at 1.2015, 1.1994, 1.1973
- Pivot resistance is noted at 1.2057, 1.2078, 1.2099
| Levels | Levels.1 |
|---|---|
| Previous Daily High | 1.2057 |
| Previous Daily Low | 1.2015 |
| Previous Weekly High | 1.2270 |
| Previous Weekly Low | 1.1915 |
| Previous Monthly High | 1.2448 |
| Previous Monthly Low | 1.1841 |
| Daily Fibonacci 38.2% | 1.2031 |
| Daily Fibonacci 61.8% | 1.2041 |
| Daily Pivot Point S1 | 1.2015 |
| Daily Pivot Point S2 | 1.1994 |
| Daily Pivot Point S3 | 1.1973 |
| Daily Pivot Point R1 | 1.2057 |
| Daily Pivot Point R2 | 1.2078 |
| Daily Pivot Point R3 | 1.2099 |
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